Syrian War

[David Horn]

(04-18-2017, 01:29 PM)Mikebert Wrote:

(04-18-2017, 09:13 AM)David Horn Wrote: Assad is following the lead of his father, but it may not work this time.  I can't see Syria continuing as a nation under Assad, but I can't see it continuing in any case.  Then there is the issue of Turkey under Erdogan, which only adds to the mess in place.  Bob's graphic of everyone fighting everyone else is a prescription for chaos, and it may not resolve in our lifetimes.

Let's assume Assad keeps the western half of his country, with the Russian's help.  Are they willing to stay engaged for the long term just to get a warm water port for their fleet?  I don't see them getting anything else but grief.

I don't really care if is works out or not for him.  I'd like for us to not be involved, but I never get what I want.

Unfortunately, neither of us gets to decide.  We've seen enough evidence that the ME is a quagmire of epic proportions.  Getting in deeper is just compounded stupidity, but that doesn't make it any less likely.