06-01-2017, 05:18 PM
Just look at Michigan. I think that Michiganders are beginning to feel betrayed.
[quote author=pbrower2a link=topic=264554.msg5676028#msg5676028 date=1496252391]
Michigan: Epic/MRA for Detroit Free Press. http://www.freep.com/story/news/local/mi...355614001/
I don't find a link to the actual results, but the story seems to indicate the following Trump approval ratings (change since Feb):
Approve: 12% (-6) ("positive job rating")
Disapprove: 61% (+5) ("negative job rating")
[/quote]
It looks like a misprint. Probably 32% approval, which is still execrable. I'll accept 32%. 61% disapproval? That suggests a collapse of Trump support.
Civitas ® poll of North Carolina registered voters (change from mid-April):
Trump Approval:
Approve 42% (-6)
Disapprove 53% (+7)
Cooper Approval:
Approve 61% (+2)
Disapprove 24%[/quote]
It looks as if Democrats are gaining and Trump is doing badly in states that he just barely won in 2016.
Tennessee, Vanderbilt University
The poll of 1,005 registered voters also shows that support for Trump remains strong among Republicans at 86 percent and self-identified Tea Party members at 90 percent.
But Trump's positive standing among Democrats is just 10 percent and 49 percent among self-identified independents.
Trump handily won the state in November with 61.1 percent of the vote over Democrat Hillary Clinton's 34.9 percent.
The Vanderbilt Poll was conducted May 4-14 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.3 percent.
In November polling, 54 percent of Tennesseans thought Trump would change things for the better in Washington. Now, just 41 percent think that.
http://www.timesfreepress.com/news/break...ns/430855/
Does anyone remember when Tennessee was the most politically-progressive state in the South? I do. That's when it had Senators Gore and Sasser. That seems like an eternity ago.
date=1496352600]
I am not using favorability polls unless the rating is uncontroversial and there is no approval poll.
The letter F shall signify a favorability poll, as the only polls that I have for Massachusetts and Oklahoma
Even -- white
Blue, positive and 40-43% 20% saturation
............................ 44-47% 40%
............................ 48-50% 50%
............................ 51-55% 70%
............................ 56%+ 90%
Red, negative and 48-50% 20% (raw approval or favorability)
.......................... 44-47% 30%
.......................... 40-43% 50%
.......................... 35-39% 70%
.......................under 35% 90%
White - tie.
Colors chosen for partisan affiliation
[quote author=pbrower2a link=topic=264554.msg5676028#msg5676028 date=1496252391]
Michigan: Epic/MRA for Detroit Free Press. http://www.freep.com/story/news/local/mi...355614001/
I don't find a link to the actual results, but the story seems to indicate the following Trump approval ratings (change since Feb):
Approve: 12% (-6) ("positive job rating")
Disapprove: 61% (+5) ("negative job rating")
[/quote]
It looks like a misprint. Probably 32% approval, which is still execrable. I'll accept 32%. 61% disapproval? That suggests a collapse of Trump support.
Civitas ® poll of North Carolina registered voters (change from mid-April):
Trump Approval:
Approve 42% (-6)
Disapprove 53% (+7)
Cooper Approval:
Approve 61% (+2)
Disapprove 24%[/quote]
It looks as if Democrats are gaining and Trump is doing badly in states that he just barely won in 2016.
Tennessee, Vanderbilt University
The poll of 1,005 registered voters also shows that support for Trump remains strong among Republicans at 86 percent and self-identified Tea Party members at 90 percent.
But Trump's positive standing among Democrats is just 10 percent and 49 percent among self-identified independents.
Trump handily won the state in November with 61.1 percent of the vote over Democrat Hillary Clinton's 34.9 percent.
The Vanderbilt Poll was conducted May 4-14 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.3 percent.
In November polling, 54 percent of Tennesseans thought Trump would change things for the better in Washington. Now, just 41 percent think that.
http://www.timesfreepress.com/news/break...ns/430855/
Does anyone remember when Tennessee was the most politically-progressive state in the South? I do. That's when it had Senators Gore and Sasser. That seems like an eternity ago.
date=1496352600]
Quote:Donald Trump falls to 27 percent approval rating in new California poll[/quote]
http://www.mercurynews.com/2017/05/31/do...oval-poll/
I am not using favorability polls unless the rating is uncontroversial and there is no approval poll.
The letter F shall signify a favorability poll, as the only polls that I have for Massachusetts and Oklahoma
Even -- white
Blue, positive and 40-43% 20% saturation
............................ 44-47% 40%
............................ 48-50% 50%
............................ 51-55% 70%
............................ 56%+ 90%
Red, negative and 48-50% 20% (raw approval or favorability)
.......................... 44-47% 30%
.......................... 40-43% 50%
.......................... 35-39% 70%
.......................under 35% 90%
White - tie.
Colors chosen for partisan affiliation
The ideal subject of totalitarian rule is not the convinced Nazi or the dedicated Communist but instead the people for whom the distinction between fact and fiction, true and false, no longer exists -- Hannah Arendt.