06-14-2016, 02:04 AM
As a two-way race:
Hillary Clinton vs. Donald Trump
![[Image: genusmap.php?year=2012&ev_c=1&pv_p=1&ev_...&NE3=0;1;6]](http://uselectionatlas.org/TOOLS/genusmap.php?year=2012&ev_c=1&pv_p=1&ev_p=1&type=calc&AL=0;;6&AK=2;;4&AZ=2;;3&AR=0;;6&CA=1;;7&CO=1;;4&CT=1;;4&DE=0;;5&DC=0;;9&FL=2;;3&GA=2;;4&HI=0;;7&ID=2;;4&IL=1;;4&IN=2;;4&IA=1;;3&KS=1;;4&KY=0;;3&LA=2;;6&MD=1;;9&MA=1;;4&MI=1;;4&MN=1;;4&MS=2;;3&MO=1;;3&MT=2;;6&NV=2;;3&NH=1;;3&NJ=1;;4&NM=1;;4&NY=1;;7&NC=2;;3&ND=0;;5&OH=1;;4&OK=2;;4&OR=1;;4&PA=4;;1&RI=0;;6&SC=2;;4&SD=0;;5&TN=2;;4&TX=2;;3&UT=4;;1&VT=0;;6&VA=1;;4&WA=0;;5&WV=2;;9&WI=1;;4&WY=0;;6&ME=1;;4&ME1=0;1;5&ME2=0;1;5&NE=0;;5&NE1=0;1;5&NE2=0;1;5&NE3=0;1;6)
30% -- lead with 40-49% but a margin of 3% or less
40% -- lead with 40-49% but a margin of 4% or more
60% -- lead with 50-54%
70% -- lead with 55-59%
90% -- lead with 60% or more
More realistically, as a three-way race with an unusually-strong Third Party candidacy:
Margin-based plan which I will use hereon for visual clarity. Partisan lead, then Johnson number. This should be easier to read. Colors based upon absolute totals for the leader. Absolute majorities: the color is all that I will show. Anyone with 50% or more of the raw vote wins anyway. Saturation suggests the raw total of the vote: 20% saturation for a lead with 20% to 29% of the vote, 30% for 30% to 39% of the vote, etc.
![[Image: 6;4&WA=0;;5&WV=0;;6&WI=0;;5&WY=0;;6&ME=0...NE3=0;99;6]](http://uselectionatlas.org/TOOLS/genusmap.php?year=2012&ev_c=1&pv_p=1&ev_p=1&type=calc&AL=0;;6&AK=0;;4&AZ=0;;4&AR=0;;6&CA=1;;6&CO=0;;5&CT=1;5/6;4&DE=0;;5&DC=0;;9&FL=2;1/6;4&GA=2;7/6;4&HI=0;;7&ID=0;;6&IL=1;12/6;4&IN=0;;5&IA=0;;5&KS=0;;5&KY=0;;6&LA=0;;5&MD=0;;6&MA=0;;1&MI=1;4/12;3&MN=0;;4&MS=0;;5&MO=0;;5&MT=0;;5&NV=0;;3&NH=0;;5&NJ=0;;5&NM=1;8/14;4&NY=0;;6&NC=2;2/3;5&ND=0;;5&OH=0;;5&OK=2;20/6;4&OR=0;;5&PA=1;1/6;4&RI=0;;6&SC=0;;5&SD=0;;5&TN=0;;5&TX=0;;4&UT=4;0/13;1&VT=0;;6&VA=1;6/6;4&WA=0;;5&WV=0;;6&WI=0;;5&WY=0;;6&ME=0;;5&ME1=0;X;9&ME2=0;X;9&NE=0;;5&NE1=0;X;9&NE2=0;X;9&NE3=0;99;6)
White is for ties. Even leads in the thirties of 1% or more will be shown in the color of the winner.
Small states in area: CT: D5/6;4
Clinton (D)
Trump ®
Johnson (L)
Hillary Clinton vs. Donald Trump
30% -- lead with 40-49% but a margin of 3% or less
40% -- lead with 40-49% but a margin of 4% or more
60% -- lead with 50-54%
70% -- lead with 55-59%
90% -- lead with 60% or more
More realistically, as a three-way race with an unusually-strong Third Party candidacy:
Margin-based plan which I will use hereon for visual clarity. Partisan lead, then Johnson number. This should be easier to read. Colors based upon absolute totals for the leader. Absolute majorities: the color is all that I will show. Anyone with 50% or more of the raw vote wins anyway. Saturation suggests the raw total of the vote: 20% saturation for a lead with 20% to 29% of the vote, 30% for 30% to 39% of the vote, etc.
White is for ties. Even leads in the thirties of 1% or more will be shown in the color of the winner.
Small states in area: CT: D5/6;4
Clinton (D)
Trump ®
Johnson (L)
The ideal subject of totalitarian rule is not the convinced Nazi or the dedicated Communist but instead the people for whom the distinction between fact and fiction, true and false, no longer exists -- Hannah Arendt.