Donald Trump: polls of approval and favorability

[pbrower2a]

I can fill in the blanks for three states (Arizona, Nevada, and Pennsylvania). At this point I see President Trump losing the 2020 Presidential election decisively.

Five states, three of them altogether new to this map (with 37 electoral votes), from PPP (if for a liberal advocacy group; PPP errs on the side of Republicans in the name of caution:

Arizona, 45-50

http://www.protectourcare.org/wp-content...rch-21.pdf

Nevada, 45-51

https://www.protectourcare.org/wp-conten...rch-21.pdf

Pennsylvania, 42-53

http://www.protectourcare.org/wp-content...rch-21.pdf

Tennessee, 54-42

http://www.protectourcare.org/wp-content...h-21-1.pdf

Wisconsin, 41-51

http://www.protectourcare.org/wp-content...rch-21.pdf

These polls were automated phone polls.

Senate results:

Dem margins in Senate battlegrounds, per @ppppolls
#PAsen Casey (D) 54% (+18) Barletta ® 36%
#WIsen Baldwin (D) 51 (+12) Vukmir ® 39
#TNsen Bredesen (D) 46 (+5) Blackburn ® 41
#NVsen Rosen (D) 44 (+5) Heller ® 39
#AZsen Sinema (D) 46 (+5) McSally ® 41%



Approval:




55% or higher dark blue
50-54% medium blue
less than 50% but above disapproval pale blue
even white
46% to 50% but below disapproval pale red
42% to 45% medium red
under 42% deep red

States and districts hard to see:

NJ 37
RI 30
NE-01 45
NE-02 38
NE-03 55

Nebraska districts are shown as 1, 2, and 3 from left to right on the map, even if they are geographically 3, 1, and 2 from west to east.

100-Disapproval




55% or higher dark blue
50% to 54% or higher but not tied medium blue
50% or higher but negative pale blue
ties white
45% or higher and positive pale red
40% to 44% medium red
under 40% deep red

States and districts hard to see:

NJ 37
RI 30
NE-01 55
NE-02 46
NE-03 66


Nebraska districts are shown as 1, 2, and 3 from left to right on the map, even if they are geographically 3, 1, and 2 from west to east.


Nothing from before November. Polls from Alabama, New Jersey, and Virginia are exit polls from 2017 elections. The Montana poll is an excellent-good-fair-poor poll which is semantically different from approve-disapprove, and I am splitting the 12% "fair" evenly (6-6), and after an approval poll comes in I would never replace it with another EGFP poll.