07-14-2018, 11:31 AM
Several polls from Survey Monkey/Axios over about a month. None will supplant more recent polling.
Approval of the President:
FL 48-50 (not using due to a more recent poll)
IN 50-48
MI 46-53
MO 51-48
MT 51-48
ND 55-43
OH 53-45 (not using due to a later poll)
PA 44-56
WI 44-55
WV 59-40
AZ 47-52 (not using due to a later poll)
NV 45-54
TN 60-39
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1bwnfno7...sGQlR/view
55% or higher dark blue
50-54% medium blue
less than 50% but above disapproval pale blue
even white
46% to 50% but below disapproval pale red
42% to 45% medium red
under 42% deep red
States and districts hard to see:
CT 39
DC 17
DE 39
HI 33
NJ 37
RI 30
NE-01 45
NE-02 38
NE-03 55
NH 39
RI 30
VT 32
Nebraska districts are shown as 1, 2, and 3 from left to right on the map, even if they are geographically 3, 1, and 2 from west to east.
100-Disapproval
55% or higher dark blue
50% to 54% or higher but not tied medium blue
50% or higher but positive pale blue
ties white
45% or higher and negative pale red
40% to 44% medium red
under 40% deep red
States and districts hard to see:
CT 41
DC 20
DE 43
HI 36
NH 49
NJ 37
RI 30
NE-01 55
NE-02 46
NE-03 66
RI 30
VT 36
Nebraska districts are shown as 1, 2, and 3 from left to right on the map, even if they are geographically 3, 1, and 2 from west to east.
*With the explicit question of whether the President should or should not be re-elected, or 100-DIS if such is all that is available:
Re-elect/do not re-elect if known; 100-DIS otherwise
100-DIS
55% or higher dark blue
50% to 54% or higher but not tied medium blue
50% or higher but positive pale blue
ties white
45% or higher and negative pale red (or 55% do-not-reelect or higher)
40% to 44% medium red (or 50 to 54% do-not-reelect or higher)
under 40% deep red (or 50% or less do-not-reelect if do-not re-elect if do-not-reelect is higher than reelect)
Ties for elect and re-elect are also in white.
States and districts hard to see:
CT 41
DC 20
DE 43
FL 37-54
HI 36
NH 49
NJ 37
RI 30
NE-01 55
NE-02 46
NE-03 66
RI 30
VT 36
Nebraska districts are shown as 1, 2, and 3 from left to right on the map, even if they are geographically 3, 1, and 2 from west to east.
Nothing from before November 2017. Polls from Alabama and New Jersey are exit polls from 2017 elections.
Approval of the President:
FL 48-50 (not using due to a more recent poll)
IN 50-48
MI 46-53
MO 51-48
MT 51-48
ND 55-43
OH 53-45 (not using due to a later poll)
PA 44-56
WI 44-55
WV 59-40
AZ 47-52 (not using due to a later poll)
NV 45-54
TN 60-39
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1bwnfno7...sGQlR/view
55% or higher dark blue
50-54% medium blue
less than 50% but above disapproval pale blue
even white
46% to 50% but below disapproval pale red
42% to 45% medium red
under 42% deep red
States and districts hard to see:
CT 39
DC 17
DE 39
HI 33
NJ 37
RI 30
NE-01 45
NE-02 38
NE-03 55
NH 39
RI 30
VT 32
Nebraska districts are shown as 1, 2, and 3 from left to right on the map, even if they are geographically 3, 1, and 2 from west to east.
100-Disapproval
55% or higher dark blue
50% to 54% or higher but not tied medium blue
50% or higher but positive pale blue
ties white
45% or higher and negative pale red
40% to 44% medium red
under 40% deep red
States and districts hard to see:
CT 41
DC 20
DE 43
HI 36
NH 49
NJ 37
RI 30
NE-01 55
NE-02 46
NE-03 66
RI 30
VT 36
Nebraska districts are shown as 1, 2, and 3 from left to right on the map, even if they are geographically 3, 1, and 2 from west to east.
*With the explicit question of whether the President should or should not be re-elected, or 100-DIS if such is all that is available:
Re-elect/do not re-elect if known; 100-DIS otherwise
100-DIS
55% or higher dark blue
50% to 54% or higher but not tied medium blue
50% or higher but positive pale blue
ties white
45% or higher and negative pale red (or 55% do-not-reelect or higher)
40% to 44% medium red (or 50 to 54% do-not-reelect or higher)
under 40% deep red (or 50% or less do-not-reelect if do-not re-elect if do-not-reelect is higher than reelect)
Ties for elect and re-elect are also in white.
States and districts hard to see:
CT 41
DC 20
DE 43
FL 37-54
HI 36
NH 49
NJ 37
RI 30
NE-01 55
NE-02 46
NE-03 66
RI 30
VT 36
Nebraska districts are shown as 1, 2, and 3 from left to right on the map, even if they are geographically 3, 1, and 2 from west to east.
Nothing from before November 2017. Polls from Alabama and New Jersey are exit polls from 2017 elections.
The ideal subject of totalitarian rule is not the convinced Nazi or the dedicated Communist but instead the people for whom the distinction between fact and fiction, true and false, no longer exists -- Hannah Arendt.