09-17-2018, 11:34 PM
(This post was last modified: 09-17-2018, 11:43 PM by Eric the Green.)
David Horn wrote:
"If Beto O'Rouke wins, it will be a seachange in US politics."
It could be indeed.
I wonder if it could upend my presidential prediction method too. I know only some members here are interested in this, but it's a good place to try out ideas.
Beto has a very low horoscope score as a possible presidential candidate, with a high negative number: 10-22. Yet he seems to be making all the right moves in a state that is not favorable to candidates as progressive as he is. He is apparently skilled and charismatic, defying what I would have expected from his score. Texas demographics are shifting, and Trump is not as popular here as Reagan and the Bush's were. Nor is Ted Cruz a very good senator, and he has an even lower score (4-11). But Beto is destined to be a rising star, especially if he can pull off a win this November.
This would be a sea-change if a progressive can win in a state as reactionary as Texas, full of southern Baptists, gun-lovers, and believers in rugged individualism symbolized by white cowboys on Texas ranches.
The scores in my horoscope aspect system are based on which presidential candidates have appealed to Americans up until now. Very idealistic types have not fared very well, and therefore some of the aspects which those types tend to have in their chart have neutral or negative scoring. What if some candidates like Beto can actually shift the preferences of Americans, and this is a long-term sea change? Then the scoring for those aspects might shift too. That would take generations, and meanwhile the scores might often be wrong.
I wouldn't bet on this happening, even if Beto wins over Cruz. If he runs for president, I would expect him to lose. But, I could be wrong!
http://philosopherswheel.com/presidentialelections.html
"If Beto O'Rouke wins, it will be a seachange in US politics."
It could be indeed.
I wonder if it could upend my presidential prediction method too. I know only some members here are interested in this, but it's a good place to try out ideas.
Beto has a very low horoscope score as a possible presidential candidate, with a high negative number: 10-22. Yet he seems to be making all the right moves in a state that is not favorable to candidates as progressive as he is. He is apparently skilled and charismatic, defying what I would have expected from his score. Texas demographics are shifting, and Trump is not as popular here as Reagan and the Bush's were. Nor is Ted Cruz a very good senator, and he has an even lower score (4-11). But Beto is destined to be a rising star, especially if he can pull off a win this November.
This would be a sea-change if a progressive can win in a state as reactionary as Texas, full of southern Baptists, gun-lovers, and believers in rugged individualism symbolized by white cowboys on Texas ranches.
The scores in my horoscope aspect system are based on which presidential candidates have appealed to Americans up until now. Very idealistic types have not fared very well, and therefore some of the aspects which those types tend to have in their chart have neutral or negative scoring. What if some candidates like Beto can actually shift the preferences of Americans, and this is a long-term sea change? Then the scoring for those aspects might shift too. That would take generations, and meanwhile the scores might often be wrong.
I wouldn't bet on this happening, even if Beto wins over Cruz. If he runs for president, I would expect him to lose. But, I could be wrong!
http://philosopherswheel.com/presidentialelections.html