05-13-2019, 03:33 PM
(05-13-2019, 05:46 AM)Kinser79 Wrote:(05-12-2019, 10:19 PM)AspieMillennial Wrote:(05-12-2019, 06:32 PM)Kinser79 Wrote: PBR, there is no such thing as a failed crisis. Every 4T in history has been resolved at some point. Often through a war or civil war. Sometimes not. Often with economic calamity, but sometimes not. War and economic hardship do not in themselves indicate one is in a 4T. Indeed in the so-called American High of the 1950s there was not one, not two, but four recessions. There was also a very bloody war--though most people seem to have forgotten about it these days.
The point of a 4T is that it ends the saeculum. This is an inevitability. I believe that the current 4T will fizzle out setting the stage for the Mega Crisis which is a whole saeculum long and will end approximately in 2100.
How bad is a mega crisis?
The last one culminated in the Napoleonic Wars 4T in Europe. I'd expect a bloodbath because a whole civilization order will be coming to an end.
Good thing I'll be dead by then. That's for the next generations to take care of.