10-22-2019, 07:18 PM
(This post was last modified: 10-22-2019, 07:34 PM by Eric the Green.)
(10-22-2019, 09:00 AM)beechnut79 Wrote:(10-21-2019, 02:22 PM)Eric the Green Wrote:Do you feel as if the opening years of the 2020s will feel like an extension of the outgoing decade?(10-17-2019, 09:36 AM)David Horn Wrote:(10-16-2019, 09:00 PM)sbarrera Wrote:(10-16-2019, 02:27 PM)David Horn Wrote: Reality bites, but Sanders' heart attack ended any chance the Democrats will risk betting on him. He's still the Gray Champion Incarnate of the neo-left, but, like Barry Goldwater on the right, he'll have to watch someone else carry the torch into the stadium. Who is needed is a late-40 early-50 year old with the same philosophy and drive. I've seen none to date.
Xer progressives stayed out of politics. They all went into tech and entertainment.
Buried somewhere within the bureaucracy is just the person we need right now: brave and inciteful. Some are already quitting their jobs for the privilege to testify against the Orange One. Others are writing tell-all books about things most of us would be happier not knowing. It's what Nomads do best. Will one of them step forward and run for office? Some already have, but only for the House so far. Unfortunately, we need someone available today, so those good soldiers will be the middle and senior managers in someone else's administration. It's looking more and more like Elizabeth Warren. Eventually, we'll need a pragmatist, and we already have a Dwight Eisenhower in the wings: Mayor Pete, but it's not time for an Ike today.
Maybe so. From my indicators, I think Gavin Newsom has a better chance than Pete of becoming that new Ike sometime after 2028 or 2032. Pete will be a flash in the pan. Meanwhile, there's still a chance McAuliffe or Landrieu will arise in 2024 to provide true boomer gray champion leadership for the 4T climax. Warren may have reached her limits, and Sanders may revive or Biden stay strong, but whether any of the three can be elected in 2020 is a crap shoot at best. 2020 may indeed be the start of a new era, but it may not start in the customary way with a new dynamic president. The best we can hope for is a place-holder like Biden for one term, who will not seek re-election. I see the congress as stepping forward if Trump wins in 2020 and reducing Trump/Pence to figureheads, until the Democratic Gray Champion core/late boomer steps up to the task in 2024.
It's complicated. I think it will be different. But already we see progressive forces rising and the repressive rulers in trouble in 2019. So it may be a 2 or 3-year gradual shift if Bernie doesn't win, since I don't see Warren as winning, and if Biden wins I see him as a voluntary one-term transitional figure, not just as a corporate stooge. I have more hopes for him than many on the Left do, but still, he will not be the leader we need that revs up the progressive engines that will get going circa 2022-23. Other leaders will arise; first in congress, and then maybe one of those core/late boomers who can actually win and lead, Landrieu, McAuliffe or Brown, will run and win the presidency in 2024, and lead us through the next 5 years of 4T climax. I don't see a Gen Xer rising up to lead us; they will only move into power once the 1T starts in 2029. And then a Millennial after that.
If Trump wins, perhaps because as David implies people prefer destruction to middling solutions offered by Biden, he will be in constant trouble and will likely be removed from office. Congress will rule the country after that, with Pence or whoever succeeded by a Democrat in 2024. If Bernie wins in 2020, although I also see him as a one-term president, the engines will rev up faster after 2020. But there's a danger of something else more reactionary coming along in 2024, in that case; perhaps a third party with mixed results, or else a Republican takeover and resulting failed Revolution by the Left, and American decline. I hope though, that Bernie as well as Biden would also be replaced by Landrieu or McAuliffe as the 2024 Democratic nominee, as the only potential candidates with scores high enough on my system to beat the odds, which say that the party out of power will win in 2024.
The planets moving into Aquarius in the 2020s are moving into the sign of the legislature. The hope of electing a president to lead us may be misplaced. A legislature can lead too. We may even shift to a parliamentary system.
Once a 4T really gets going, katy bar the door. Who knows just how far the changes will go. An end to gerrymandering, a new supreme court that takes money out of politics and semi-automatics out of peoples' hands, a parliamentary system that curtails the power of the president or PM to dictate wars and foreign policy changes, an end to the 2 party system with ranked-choice voting and proportional representation, changes to the ownership and control of corporations as Bernie proposes, wholesale changes to our energy and health systems, term limits and balanced budget amendments, an end to the filibuster and the electoral college, tax hikes on the rich, or a total reactionary takeover by the xenophobes, gun nuts and tax haters; who knows where this is going and how far. But this 4T has 9 years to run and it has hardly begun.
