02-21-2020, 09:31 PM
(02-21-2020, 09:03 AM)Camz Wrote:(02-21-2020, 03:27 AM)Warren Dew Wrote: Okay, here's a question. Why do you believe that a 2005 birth year is Gen Z rather than Millenial?The 2008 Recession was the start of our current Crisis, and 2005-borns won't remember it. I actually think Gen Z might start at 2003, because they probably weren't old enough to comprehend it. Maybe even 2000 is a good starting date, but people born then have more Millennial traits, I think.
That's a nice, analytical approach. I vaguely remember that Strauss & Howe place the last GI birth year in 1924, which would have been five years before the 1929 crash. Of course, there was a time when people thought 9/11, rather than the financial crisis, was the start of the Crisis.
I also seem to remember that Strauss & Howe regard the years that shape generations as the young adulthood years, though, rather than the childhood years. I think the childhood years are a better marker for Idealist generations - they basically are the first that have no personal memory of the preceding crisis war - but I'm not sure we'll know the transition between Millenial and new Adaptive until we know who ends up fighting in the impending crisis war and who is too young.
Eric thinks the next crisis war, or the equivalent, will start around 2025. I'm inclined to agree, although my reasoning is not something he'd agree with.
Quote:But it's really hard to tell at this point. Only now is the Crisis picking up speed, and it might end in the early 2030s. I'd be 25+ by then. If the Crisis does end there, Gen Alpha would start being born in.. lets say, 2026, and Z would cap off at 2025. The birth range will fluctuate in the coming years, and I'm excited to see what the final one will be.
Yes.
Quote:I just hope the culture isn't too lacking in creativity, and I'm not dead by the next Crisis.
The 2020s crisis, or the 2100s crisis? One of the things about Adaptives is that they tend to have very high crisis mortality - to the point that some of the most famous are the ones that don't survive, like Anne Frank.
