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2020 Predictions
#30
William Weld dropping out of the Republican race for President (I considered him serious because he had been a State governor), the second key goes back to Trump or requires qualifications. I am tempted to believe that his performance in the 2020 primary in New Hampshire indicates an unusually-heavy level of dissent with the incumbent President within his Party -- much more than was the case with Clinton in 1996, Dubya in 2004, or Obama in 2012. I suspect that President Trump will face a third-party or independent nominee from a faction within his Party. Conservative dissent against Trump for the despotic style of decision-making of this President, the personality cult, the contempt for old decencies and legal norms, the adoption of Big Government as a means of intensifying power of the Leader, and the erratic foreign policy might not lead to the Democratic Party, but it can certainly go to a third-party nominee.

Any third-party or independent nominee who can draw 4% of the conservative vote away from Trump will destroy his chances of re-election. That is one key, and this (third party alternative) key can easily become relevant. It has not appeared yet.
The ideal subject of totalitarian rule is not the convinced Nazi or the dedicated Communist  but instead the people for whom the distinction between fact and fiction, true and false, no longer exists -- Hannah Arendt.


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Messages In This Thread
2020 Predictions - by JDG 66 - 03-07-2020, 05:08 PM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by JDG 66 - 03-09-2020, 01:27 PM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by JDG 66 - 03-09-2020, 01:58 PM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by Eric the Green - 03-09-2020, 06:08 PM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by JDG 66 - 03-10-2020, 01:39 PM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by pbrower2a - 03-10-2020, 04:33 AM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by Eric the Green - 03-10-2020, 02:04 PM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by JDG 66 - 03-10-2020, 02:13 PM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by Eric the Green - 03-16-2020, 10:31 PM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by JDG 66 - 03-17-2020, 11:16 AM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by David Horn - 03-10-2020, 04:34 PM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by Bob Butler 54 - 03-10-2020, 06:51 PM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by David Horn - 03-11-2020, 09:41 AM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by JDG 66 - 03-11-2020, 01:42 PM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by pbrower2a - 03-11-2020, 02:43 AM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by JDG 66 - 03-11-2020, 01:00 PM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by pbrower2a - 03-16-2020, 06:58 PM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by Bob Butler 54 - 03-16-2020, 08:02 PM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by JDG 66 - 03-16-2020, 02:57 PM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by pbrower2a - 03-16-2020, 03:49 PM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by ResidentArtist - 03-16-2020, 04:50 PM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by Eric the Green - 03-16-2020, 10:50 PM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by ResidentArtist - 03-16-2020, 04:14 PM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by Eric the Green - 03-18-2020, 01:07 AM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by JDG 66 - 03-18-2020, 01:09 PM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by pbrower2a - 03-18-2020, 06:13 PM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by beechnut79 - 03-19-2020, 10:56 AM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by pbrower2a - 03-19-2020, 02:06 PM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by pbrower2a - 06-07-2020, 03:11 AM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by David Horn - 03-19-2020, 10:49 AM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by pbrower2a - 03-19-2020, 02:24 PM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by Mickey123 - 06-07-2020, 11:46 PM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by David Horn - 06-08-2020, 09:13 AM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by pbrower2a - 06-05-2020, 05:46 AM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by Eric the Green - 06-06-2020, 05:28 PM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by Eric the Green - 06-06-2020, 05:59 PM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by Tim Randal Walker - 06-07-2020, 09:52 AM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by David Horn - 06-07-2020, 09:57 AM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by pbrower2a - 06-07-2020, 11:11 AM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by pbrower2a - 06-08-2020, 09:51 AM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by David Horn - 06-12-2020, 06:02 AM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by Eric the Green - 06-11-2020, 11:26 PM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by David Horn - 06-12-2020, 06:34 AM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by TeacherinExile - 08-05-2020, 03:12 PM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by Eric the Green - 08-05-2020, 04:37 PM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by Eric the Green - 08-05-2020, 05:10 PM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by pbrower2a - 08-05-2020, 05:49 PM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by Eric the Green - 08-06-2020, 07:27 PM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by pbrower2a - 08-07-2020, 01:20 AM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by Eric the Green - 08-07-2020, 06:25 AM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by pbrower2a - 08-07-2020, 02:56 PM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by Eric the Green - 08-07-2020, 06:33 PM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by David Horn - 08-09-2020, 10:04 AM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by pbrower2a - 08-07-2020, 01:21 AM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by JDG 66 - 11-02-2020, 03:20 PM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by pbrower2a - 11-02-2020, 07:05 PM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by JDG 66 - 11-03-2020, 02:12 PM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by pbrower2a - 11-03-2020, 04:48 PM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by Eric the Green - 11-02-2020, 05:31 PM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by Bob Butler 54 - 11-03-2020, 05:42 AM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by Eric the Green - 11-03-2020, 09:32 AM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by pbrower2a - 11-03-2020, 10:25 AM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by JDG 66 - 11-03-2020, 02:49 PM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by Eric the Green - 11-05-2020, 01:24 AM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by pbrower2a - 11-04-2020, 12:56 AM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by pbrower2a - 11-04-2020, 01:42 AM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by pbrower2a - 11-05-2020, 10:00 AM
RE: 2020 Predictions - by Eric the Green - 11-04-2020, 02:11 AM

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