04-07-2020, 01:00 PM
(04-06-2020, 10:52 AM)sbarrera Wrote:(04-06-2020, 09:52 AM)Warren Dew Wrote:(04-06-2020, 08:12 AM)sbarrera Wrote: But it's the response that counts, right? Not the actual threat level. That we would be willing as a society to basically shutdown the economy in order to mitigate loss of life (even if just for a certain demographic) is the indicator.
It's an indicator of our being in the fourth turning, if there were any doubt. It's an indicator that we're ready for a regeneracy.
Historically, though, it requires 5-10 years of war - Civil War, WWII, Chinese Civil War - to cement the regeneracy. I don't see how Covid-19 can be drawn out that long.
Coronavirus says "hold my beer..."
Seriously, Covid-19 + economic fallout could drag on for well over a year. I do think it will have everything to do with political responses.
I also think that Warren discounts the ongoing messes we've had, starting with the Katrina non-response. Strife is strife, and we've had a few serious bouts of it during this 4T. Then again, I've never been in the must-have-a-war camp (that's a Xenakis position). Anything that stresses society to the breaking point gets the nod in my book, and COVID-19 is certainly applying plenty of stress.
Intelligence is not knowledge and knowledge is not wisdom, but they all play well together.