06-04-2020, 03:11 PM
Quote:Trump pumping some strong swing states numbers. That’s all that matters!.
Wishful thinking based upon polls released tonight in a swing state that seems to be swinging away from Trump tonight (Wisconsin), a "new" swing state (Arizona), and a state that seems to have lost its reputation as a swing state but is so again (Ohio), and one that has been quite close in the last three Presidential elections (North Carolina). When Texas is close (45-50 approval and disapproval, respectively even if Trump has a slight lead well within the margin of error in the possible match-up), several other states are slipping away from Trump:
Quote:Quote:Fox News state polls, May 30-June 2.
Arizona (1002 RV):
Approve 46 (strongly 28)
Disapprove 52 (strongly 41)
Biden 46, Trump 42
Ohio (803 RV):
Approve 50 (strongly 29)
Disapprove 48 (strongly 40)
Biden 45, Trump 43
Wisconsin (801 RV):
Approve 45 (strongly 27)
Disapprove 54 (strongly 45)
Biden 49, Trump 40
Updated for another swing state:
Quote:North Carolina: PPP, June 2-3, 949 voters
Approve 45
Disapprove 50
Biden 49, Trump 45
Cunningham 43, Tillis 41
Cooper 50, Forest 39
Quote:Trump pumping some strong swing states numbers. That’s all that matters!
So much for that...
The match-ups are even uglier than approval numbers for the President. With the current disapproval numbers, Trump will need major changes in how voters perceive him to win Arizona, let alone Wisconsin. When Ohio is iffy, then Michigan and Pennsylvania are gone for the President.
Quote:President Donald Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden are locked in a very tight race in Texas, with Trump receiving 44 percent of the vote and Biden receiving 43 percent in a general election matchup, according to a Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pea-ack) University poll released today. Democrats go for Biden 90 - 5 percent, independents do the same 45 - 36 percent, and Republicans go for Trump 87 - 6 percent.
Voters say 54 - 40 percent that Trump would do a better job handling the economy, but say 49 - 43 percent that Biden would do a better job handling health care. Voters are split on who would do a better job handling the response to the coronavirus, as 47 percent say Biden and 45 percent say Trump.
President Trump receives a 45 - 50 percent job approval rating, unchanged from September of 2019.
https://poll.qu.edu/texas/release-detail?ReleaseID=3662
And how bad could things be for the President in what might be his worst state?
Quote:Vermont: We Ask America, June 2-3, 500 LV
Approve 27
Disapprove 72
On the other extreme, Republican Governor Phil Scott has an 82/14 approval rating (not a typo).
No, the color is not wrong for Texas. Trump disapproval is exactly 50% there. (Colors are inverted from the usual current Republican-Democratic split shown in most media, but Democrats used to be depicted as red (more socialistic) and Republicans used to be depicted as blue (more pro-capitalist) in the site from which I get the mapping program.
Trump approval 50-54%
Trump approval positive but under 50%
ties are in white
Trump approval negative but disapproval under 50%
Trump disapproval 50-54%
Trump disapproval 55% or higher
The ideal subject of totalitarian rule is not the convinced Nazi or the dedicated Communist but instead the people for whom the distinction between fact and fiction, true and false, no longer exists -- Hannah Arendt.