06-06-2020, 05:59 PM
(This post was last modified: 06-06-2020, 06:00 PM by Eric the Green.)
Handicapping the electoral college is always fun.
Right now Biden leads nationally by 7 points and his average lead over Trump in the 3 blue states Trump won is about 4 points. So if Biden's lead nationally falls to 3 points, then Trump would probably carry at least one of those 3 states.
Biden would then have to pick up Florida, Arizona, or two electoral votes in Maine and Nebraska to make up for a loss in Wisconsin, the most likely former blue state to go red.
Right now Biden leads nationally by 7 points and his average lead over Trump in the 3 blue states Trump won is about 4 points. So if Biden's lead nationally falls to 3 points, then Trump would probably carry at least one of those 3 states.
Biden would then have to pick up Florida, Arizona, or two electoral votes in Maine and Nebraska to make up for a loss in Wisconsin, the most likely former blue state to go red.