08-03-2020, 10:40 AM
(08-03-2020, 10:19 AM)TeacherinExile Wrote: David, you’re probably right about the First Turning focus. However, Howe—and I, for what it’s worth—peg the potential endpoint for the turning crisis era—at 2030. That’s a full decade away, and with the swift and very uncertain way that the COVID-19 pandemic and fallout are unfolding, Howe almost has to commit himself to updating the crisis era itself, don’t you think? Someone correct me if I’m wrong, but doesn’t Peter Turchin also forecast things to come to a resolution by 2030?
This time may be unique for having so many major challenges needing immediate attention: inequality, racism, authoritarianism, climate and a pandemic. Predicting when and how this all gets resolved is dicey at best.
Intelligence is not knowledge and knowledge is not wisdom, but they all play well together.