08-06-2016, 06:22 AM
A composite of Presidential elections, 1976 and 1992-2012:
![[Image: genusmap.php?year=2012&ev_c=1&pv_p=1&ev_...&NE3=2;3;7]](http://uselectionatlas.org/TOOLS/genusmap.php?year=2012&ev_c=1&pv_p=1&ev_p=1&type=calc&AL=2;;7&AK=2;;6&AZ=2;;4&AR=3;;7&CA=1;;6&CO=2;;2&CT=1;;6&DE=1;;6&DC=1;;6&FL=2;;2&GA=2;;4&HI=1;;6&ID=2;;7&IL=1;;6&IN=2;;4&IA=1;;4&KS=2;;7&KY=3;;7&LA=3;;7&MD=1;;6&MA=1;;6;&MI=1;;6&MN=1;;6&MS=2;;7&MO=3;;3&MT=2;;4&NV=4;;1&NH=1;;4&NJ=1;;6&NM=1;;4&NY=1;;6&NC=2;;4&ND=2;;7&OH=4;;1&OK=2;;7&OR=1;;6&PA=1;;6&RI=1;;6&SC=2;;7&SD=2;;7&TN=3;;7&TX=2;;7&UT=2;;7&VT=1;;6&VA=4;;4&WA=1;;6&WV=3;;7&WI=1;;6&WY=2;;7&ME=1;;6&ME1=1;1;6&ME2=1;2;6&NE=2;;7&NE1=2;1;7&NE2=2;2;4&NE3=2;3;7)
Deep red -- Democrats win every Presidential race. 248
Medium red -- Democrats win all but one Presidential race. 15
White -- always went with the winner 22
Pale blue -- went for the winner in all election, but in that exception went for the Republican 38
Yellow -- twice Democratic, but seeming to now drift Democratic 13
Green -- twice Democratic but seeming to drift Republican (Missouri in a light shade because Obama was close in 2008, others deep green) 38/48
Medium blue -- Republicans win all but one Presidential race. 56
Deep blue --Republicans win every Presidential race. 98
NE-02 is the middle box in Nebraska even if the district is Greater Omaha.
Mass dissatisfaction with the Republican party is strong outside core GOP areas. Republicans will need either a catastrophic failure of the Obama Administration or a quickly-forming cultural trend (like a right-wing religious revival) in most Blue (Atlas Red) states to create an opportunity.
OK, one might trade Nevada for Iowa... but that leaves the Republican nominee with several must-win states (Colorado, Virginia, Ohio, Florida, North Carolina), none of which will be certain.
The winner of the Democratic nomination gets the Obama campaign apparatus intact.
Deep red -- Democrats win every Presidential race. 248
Medium red -- Democrats win all but one Presidential race. 15
White -- always went with the winner 22
Pale blue -- went for the winner in all election, but in that exception went for the Republican 38
Yellow -- twice Democratic, but seeming to now drift Democratic 13
Green -- twice Democratic but seeming to drift Republican (Missouri in a light shade because Obama was close in 2008, others deep green) 38/48
Medium blue -- Republicans win all but one Presidential race. 56
Deep blue --Republicans win every Presidential race. 98
NE-02 is the middle box in Nebraska even if the district is Greater Omaha.
Mass dissatisfaction with the Republican party is strong outside core GOP areas. Republicans will need either a catastrophic failure of the Obama Administration or a quickly-forming cultural trend (like a right-wing religious revival) in most Blue (Atlas Red) states to create an opportunity.
OK, one might trade Nevada for Iowa... but that leaves the Republican nominee with several must-win states (Colorado, Virginia, Ohio, Florida, North Carolina), none of which will be certain.
The winner of the Democratic nomination gets the Obama campaign apparatus intact.
The ideal subject of totalitarian rule is not the convinced Nazi or the dedicated Communist but instead the people for whom the distinction between fact and fiction, true and false, no longer exists -- Hannah Arendt.