08-12-2016, 11:27 AM
Florida and North Carolina are averages.
Binary race, Hillary Clinton (D) vs. Donald Trump ®
![[Image: genusmap.php?year=2012&ev_c=1&pv_p=1&ev_...NE3=0;99;6]](http://uselectionatlas.org/TOOLS/genusmap.php?year=2012&ev_c=1&pv_p=1&ev_p=1&type=calc&AL=2;;7&AK=0;;4&AZ=4;;1&AR=0;;6&CA=0;;6&CO=1;;4&CT=0;;5&DE=0;;5&DC=0;;9&FL=1;;2&GA=5;;4&HI=0;;7&ID=0;;6&IL=1;;6&IN=0;;5&IA=5;;2&KS=3;;2&KY=3;;4&LA=0;;5&MD=0;;6&MA=0;;1&MI=5;;4&MN=0;;4&MS=0;;5&MO=4;;1&MT=0;;5&NV=4;;1&NH=1;;6&NJ=0;;5&NM=0;;5&NY=0;;6&NC=1;;4&ND=0;;5&OH=1;;4&OK=2;;6&OR=0;;5&PA=1;;4&RI=0;;6&SC=4;;1&SD=0;;5&TN=2;;6&TX=2;;4&UT=0;;7&VT=0;;6&VA=1;;4&WA=0;;5&WV=0;;6&WI=1;;6&WY=0;;6&ME=1;;4&ME1=1;X;4&ME2=0;X;9&NE=0;;5&NE1=0;X;9&NE2=0;X;9&NE3=0;99;6)
Leader up with
60% or more -- saturation 80%
55-59% -- saturation 70%
50-54% -- saturation 60%
46-49%, margin 4% or greater saturation 40%
46-49%, margin 3% or less saturation 20%
(the usual color applies for the partisan leader, but yellow blue to green and red to orange below
40-45%, margin 4% or greater, saturation 40%
43-45%, margin 3% or less, saturation 20%
Johnson support:
16%+: 80
13-15: 70
10-12: 60
7-9: 50
4-6: 40
2-3: 30
0-1: 20
Poll w/ no Libertarian number: clear
![[Image: genusmap.php?year=2012&ev_c=1&pv_p=1&ev_...&NE3=0;1;5]](http://uselectionatlas.org/TOOLS/genusmap.php?year=2012&ev_c=1&pv_p=1&ev_p=0&type=calc&AL=4;9;1&AK=0;3;5&AZ=3;11;4&AR=3;6;5&CA=3;55;6&CO=3;9;7&CT=3;7;4&DE=0;3;5&DC=0;3;5&FL=3;29;5&GA=3;16;6&HI=0;4;5&ID=3;4;4&IL=3;20;4&IN=0;11;5&IA=3;6;6&KS=3;6;5&KY=3;8;4&LA=0;8;5&MD=0;10;5&MA=3;11;4&MI=3;16;5&MN=0;10;5&MS=0;6;5&MO=3;10;4&MT=0;3;5&NV=3;8;4&NH=3;;5&NJ=3;14;5&NM=3;5;7&NY=0;29;5&NC=3;15;6&ND=0;3;5&OH=3;1;5&OK=3;7;4&OR=4;7;1&PA=3;20;5&RI=0;4;5&SC=3;9;4&SD=0;3;5&TN=3;11;4&TX=4;38;1&UT=3;6;7&VT=3;3;6&VA=3;10;6&WA=3;12;1&WV=0;5;5&WI=3;9;5&WY=0;3;5&ME=3;2;6&ME1=4;1;1&ME2=4;1;1&NE=0;2;5&NE1=0;1;5&NE2=0;1;5&NE3=0;1;5)
Donald Trump is now doing so badly that the combined polling for Johnson and Stein is beginning
to approach his.
![[Image: 10;4&ME1=1;X;6&ME2=1;X;4&NE=0;;5&NE1=0;X...NE3=0;99;6]](http://uselectionatlas.org/TOOLS/genusmap.php?year=2012&ev_c=1&pv_p=1&ev_p=1&type=calc&AL=2;;7&AK=0;;4&AZ=1;2/4;4&AR=0;;6&CA=0;;6&CO=1;12/15;4&CT=0;;5&DE=0;;5&DC=0;;9&FL=1;5/9;4&GA=1;7/7;4&HI=0;;7&ID=0;;6&IL=1;;6&IN=0;;5&IA=4;0/12/1;1&KS=2;5/8;4&KY=2;15/??;4&LA=0;;5&MD=0;;6&MA=0;;1&MI=1;9/8;4&MN=0;;4&MS=0;;5&MO=2;2/5;4&MT=0;;5&NV=1;1/4;2&NH=1;;6&NJ=0;;5&NM=0;;5&NY=0;;6&NC=1;9/9;4&ND=0;;5&OH=1;3/10;4&OK=2;;6&OR=0;;5&PA=1;9/8;4&RI=0;;6&SC=2;2/5;4&SD=0;;5&TN=2;17/4;4&TX=0;;4&UT=0;;7&VT=0;;6&VA=1;12/12;4&WA=0;;5&WV=0;;6&WI=1;;6&WY=0;;6&ME=1;10/10;4&ME1=1;X;6&ME2=1;X;4&NE=0;;5&NE1=0;X;9&NE2=0;X;9&NE3=0;99;6)
Small states and districts in area or with shapes that allow confusion:
FL D4/4;4
ME D 10/10; 4
NH D15/8,4
Clinton (D)
Trump ®
Johnson (L)
The nature of this election cycle must change dramatically for Donald Trump to have any chance of victory.
Binary race, Hillary Clinton (D) vs. Donald Trump ®
Leader up with
60% or more -- saturation 80%
55-59% -- saturation 70%
50-54% -- saturation 60%
46-49%, margin 4% or greater saturation 40%
46-49%, margin 3% or less saturation 20%
(the usual color applies for the partisan leader, but yellow blue to green and red to orange below
40-45%, margin 4% or greater, saturation 40%
43-45%, margin 3% or less, saturation 20%
Johnson support:
16%+: 80
13-15: 70
10-12: 60
7-9: 50
4-6: 40
2-3: 30
0-1: 20
Poll w/ no Libertarian number: clear
Donald Trump is now doing so badly that the combined polling for Johnson and Stein is beginning
to approach his.
Small states and districts in area or with shapes that allow confusion:
FL D4/4;4
ME D 10/10; 4
NH D15/8,4
Clinton (D)
Trump ®
Johnson (L)
The nature of this election cycle must change dramatically for Donald Trump to have any chance of victory.
The ideal subject of totalitarian rule is not the convinced Nazi or the dedicated Communist but instead the people for whom the distinction between fact and fiction, true and false, no longer exists -- Hannah Arendt.