12-03-2021, 08:38 PM
(This post was last modified: 12-03-2021, 08:40 PM by Eric the Green.)
(12-03-2021, 12:47 PM)galaxy Wrote:(12-02-2021, 01:44 PM)Eric the Green Wrote: Thanks for your reply. I am very familiar with EDM, but not with Vine, and not with The Hunger Games. I know the latter is an important part of today's pop culture though. I would not associate with a sub-generation an app that had so short a life as Vine and created a word so unfamiliar to most of us, though.
I don't propose that civil wars cut turnings short. I assume that the anomaly which the authors posit was less anomalous than they claim, and that the civil war 4T stretched at least back to 1850, and that the 2010s were basically the 1850s returned, although I still think we are only at the equivalent of the year 1856, the year of Bleeding Kansas and the violence in the Senate of Sumner-Brooks. Rather than shortening 4Ts, the Civil War and today's Cold Civil War (so-far only cold) relates to the double rhythm, which I associate with the fact that Neptune's orbit is twice that of Uranus, and was an idea that I started here on the original forum long ago.
I promise you every member of this subgeneration is very familiar with the word "yeet," and something need not be long-lasting to leave a long-lasting impact.
Every member of every generation should be familiar with names suggested for generations or sub-generations. Generational theory is for everyone, not just for one sub-generation or another. I never heard the word "yeet" before your post.
Quote:I think it's very unlikely that the Civil War 4T began any earlier than 1857, and the most likely starting point by far is the election of Lincoln in 1860. There is just a very clear turn from inaction to action in the country.
If the Civil War 4T was longer than five years, it's because it extended beyond the end of the war, possibly as far as the end of Reconstruction in 1877. (The following turnings would presumably be something like 1877-1893, 1893-1912, and 1912-1929).
A 4T is not limited to the time-span of a war. The war is usually just the climactic phase. The USA country was dividing starting in 1850. Our own 4T started in 2008 and we have been in a condition nearly identical to that of the 1850s. I see Bleeding Kansas and the Brooks attack on Sumner in the Senate as similar to attacks on capitols in 2020 and January 6th, 2021. We are at 1856-57. Our 4T has about 8 years to run. If abortion is outlawed, it could be our Dred Scott or our fugitive slave law. A war could still happen, starting as late as 2025. It could be both domestic and foreign. It could be less severe than previous wars during 4th turnings.
Quote:As for the double-rhythm, I remain skeptical of any astronomical influence on generational cycles on Earth, but it's clear that there is some kind of alternating pattern, and I have already described in another post the way in which it can be self-generating.
It's good that you can see the double rhythm. For some reason, 4T fans and those interested in generations are not usually open to astrology, but I will continue to mention the close correlations of the solar system cycles and our cycles on Earth. We live in the modern delusion that we are separate from each other and from the cosmos around us. It is not so. Older societies were built on the model of the sky and governed their lives by its cycles. We are obsessed with our own machines and think the world is one. It is not.
Quote:I've also seen on another website a theory of a "second-order cycle" in which each saeculum also has the character of a turning. The author of the page goes on to describe a pattern in the severity of 4Ts - from most severe to least, they are the 4Ts that end the 4th, 2nd, 3rd, and 1st saecula (which puts us in the mildest possible 4T, which certainly seemed to be the case prior to 2020 and may still be the case now).
Fitting that into the double rhythm, the "Unifying 4Ts" are the ones that come at the end of the 2nd and 4th saecula (therefore preceding the "static" 1T/3T saecula), while the "Fracturing 4Ts" precede the "dynamic" 2T/4T saecula.
This also fits well with the comparison of the current 4T to the Glorious Revolution, 240 years ago.
I don't go along with the idea that 4 seacula make a mega-saeculum. The correlations people have made do not fit. But there is a double rhythm I see, and I agree the Glorious Saeculum fits into the pattern that includes ours. There are various ways of contrasting these. In one set of saecula, the foreign threat is more demanding and the country is more unified. The attitude tends to be more outward-looking. In the other set, the threat within is more demanding, and the country is in danger or splitting into factions. The attitude is more self-examining and inward. But, the similarities from turning to turning are still greater than the differences, and some of each applies to both sets.