12-13-2021, 07:43 AM
(12-09-2021, 05:12 AM)pbrower2a Wrote: Countries whose last completed Crisis Era ended with World War II (the UK, France, Belgium, Netherlands, Norway, Denmark, Italy, Japan, the Philippines, the USSR/Russia, Finland, Australia, New Zealand, Canada, and Thailand are on our timeline (V-J Day). Countries whose last Crisis ended with a Communist takeover (Poland, Czechia, Slovakia, Hungary, Romania, Bulgaria, Albania) or a failed Communist revolution soon after the end of World War II are just behind us in the generational cycle. A communist takeover is one of the biggest possible changes in a social order as it completely undoes the previous economic system and transforms the political realities. The consolidation of the Apartheid system in South Africa constitutes the end of a Crisis. Even the deposition of a King isn't that severe (Italy, Greece, Nepal). World War II entailed huge destruction and genocide unlike anything since Genghiz Khan and Timur Lenk. The consolidation of Communist rule in the PRC in 1950 defines China as about five years behind the USA in the cycle. The WWII Crisis in Germany is over with the formal severing of Germany into two different Republics, one capitalist (the Bundesrepublik) and one Commie (the DDR). Cuba's Crisis Era ends with the Bay of Pigs fiasco (American) or heroic defense (for those who think Fidel Castro wonderful). India and Israel achieve the ends of their Crisis Eras with independence under harsh circumstances.
Oddly I do not see the dissolution of Communist rule in central and Balkan Europe and the former Soviet Union as Crisis Eras. The revolutions are generally non-violent (except in Romania) and did not culminate in mass death. It was wise of non-Communists to let bygones be bygones without the execution of Commies. I do not so see the elimination of Apartheid in South Africa. Food is in my presence, so I have no desire to speak of Rwanda or the former Yugoslavia.
Korea's Crisis was of course the Korean War with a metastable armistice.
Thank you for the comprehensive answers. I agree for the countries that were involved in WW II. But IMO also Germany have the same cycle. Seems the Breakdown of the Soviet Union is not mark a new Cycle. I think it was a almost peacefull transformation. And the BRD was not "changing" in a completly way.
Why do you think Countries whose last Crisis ended with a Communist takeover (Poland, Czechia, Slovakia, Hungary, Romania, Bulgaria, Albania) are behind us in the generational cylcle? Does it not also started right after the WWII. So it should be very similar to us.
Also i would say differences like 5 years to China are not relevant, and the turnings may sync because of globalization.
And because China wants to become a world power and battles with the USA.