Over the last two years I wrote a book about the current crisis in America. Here is a pdf of the manuscript.
https://mikebert.neocities.org/America-in-crisis.pdf
I use a secular cycle framework rather than a generational one as in my earlier books. This is because I see the generational framework as failing to match with the actual periodization after T4T was published in 1997. Based on the theory described in Generations and the dating of the Boom, GenX and Millennial generations provided by S&H a 4T necessarily had to begin between 2001 and 2008. The structure of a 4T was outlined in T4T. A gathering sense of crisis during the 3T encounters a triggering event that creates a new social mood that denotes a change in turning from unraveling to fully unraveled (i.e. crisis). Following the crisis the situation gets darker until a period is reached when a definite course of action that will eventually lead to a resolution to the crisis is begun. This is the regeneracy. The selected course of action is pursued, there are advanced and set back until a point comes when the light at the end of the tunnel is revealed, a turning point after which it is just cleanup. This is climax. It seems clear to me that whether you choose 911 or the 2008 crash as the trigger there has been no regeneracy.
Ten years ago or more at the old site there was a guy always talking about how the time will come when millennials who will already be operating the controls of our civilization, will just overrule their out-of-touch elders nominally in charge, in a word, revolution. Classic-Xer has been hinting at civil war for years. Polls now suggest many people think some sort of civil strife may be in our future.
In both cases the sense is anticipatory, of a looming danger still in the future. This is a 3T sense, there same sort of brooding sense of "this can't go on forever" that was present in the 1990's and seen as characteristic. Back then I and others saw many parallels with the 1920's. Today the action on financial markets is again very reminiscent of the 1920's. But the political situation is often compared to the 1850's. Both are 3Ts. Also, a regeneracy must necessarily have happened already, yet I haven't seen one. So, I very much doubt we began a 4T over 2001-2008 and this rules out the S&H theory with the generations S&H identified. Note, since century-long saecula were once common, we could have a 4T beginning as late as the early 2030's and it still be "normal" but this would require new generations with a prophet gen born roughly 1945-70, a nomad gen born over 1971-2995, and a hero gen born after 1995. I rather doubt 1960's GenXers becoming Boomers would sit well with them. And this scheme would eliminate millennials altogether.
https://mikebert.neocities.org/America-in-crisis.pdf
I use a secular cycle framework rather than a generational one as in my earlier books. This is because I see the generational framework as failing to match with the actual periodization after T4T was published in 1997. Based on the theory described in Generations and the dating of the Boom, GenX and Millennial generations provided by S&H a 4T necessarily had to begin between 2001 and 2008. The structure of a 4T was outlined in T4T. A gathering sense of crisis during the 3T encounters a triggering event that creates a new social mood that denotes a change in turning from unraveling to fully unraveled (i.e. crisis). Following the crisis the situation gets darker until a period is reached when a definite course of action that will eventually lead to a resolution to the crisis is begun. This is the regeneracy. The selected course of action is pursued, there are advanced and set back until a point comes when the light at the end of the tunnel is revealed, a turning point after which it is just cleanup. This is climax. It seems clear to me that whether you choose 911 or the 2008 crash as the trigger there has been no regeneracy.
Ten years ago or more at the old site there was a guy always talking about how the time will come when millennials who will already be operating the controls of our civilization, will just overrule their out-of-touch elders nominally in charge, in a word, revolution. Classic-Xer has been hinting at civil war for years. Polls now suggest many people think some sort of civil strife may be in our future.
In both cases the sense is anticipatory, of a looming danger still in the future. This is a 3T sense, there same sort of brooding sense of "this can't go on forever" that was present in the 1990's and seen as characteristic. Back then I and others saw many parallels with the 1920's. Today the action on financial markets is again very reminiscent of the 1920's. But the political situation is often compared to the 1850's. Both are 3Ts. Also, a regeneracy must necessarily have happened already, yet I haven't seen one. So, I very much doubt we began a 4T over 2001-2008 and this rules out the S&H theory with the generations S&H identified. Note, since century-long saecula were once common, we could have a 4T beginning as late as the early 2030's and it still be "normal" but this would require new generations with a prophet gen born roughly 1945-70, a nomad gen born over 1971-2995, and a hero gen born after 1995. I rather doubt 1960's GenXers becoming Boomers would sit well with them. And this scheme would eliminate millennials altogether.