09-12-2016, 12:31 PM
States for which I have new polls include Arizona, California, Florida, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, Ohio, and Utah.
Hillary Clinton (D) vs. Donald Trump ®:
![[Image: genusmap.php?year=2008&ev_c=1&pv_p=1&ev_...&NE3=0;1;7]](http://uselectionatlas.org/TOOLS/genusmap.php?year=2008&ev_c=1&pv_p=1&ev_p=1&type=calc&AL=2;9;6&AK=2;3;4&AZ=4;11;1&AR=2;6;6&CA=1;55;6&CO=1;9;2&CT=1;7;5&DE=1;3;5&DC=0;3;1&FL=1;29;2&GA=2;16;2&HI=1;4;5&ID=2;4;4&IL=1;20;5&IN=2;11;4&IA=2;6;3&KS=2;6;4&KY=2;8;6&LA=2;8;5&MD=1;10;8&MA=1;11;6&MI=1;16;3&MN=1;10;4&MS=2;6;2&MO=2;10;5&MT=2;3;5&NV=1;6;3&NH=1;4;4&NJ=1;14;5&NM=1;5;5&NY=1;29;6&NC=4;15;1&ND=2;3;8&OH=1;18;4&OK=2;7;6&OR=1;7;6&PA=1;20;4&RI=1;4;6&SC=2;9;3&SD=2;3;5&TN=2;11;6&TX=1;38;2&UT=2;6;4&VT=1;3;6&VA=1;13;4&WA=1;12;5&WV=2;5;6&WI=1;10;2&WY=2;3;8&ME=1;2;4&ME1=0;1;4&ME2=0;1;4&NE=2;2;4&NE1=0;1;7&NE2=0;1;7&NE3=0;1;7)
Tie -- white
60% or more -- saturation 8
55-59.9% -- saturation 6
50-54.9% -- saturation 5
45-49.9%, lead 8% or more -- saturation 4
45-49.9%, lead 4-7.9% -- saturation 3
45-49.9%, lead 1-3.9% -- saturation 2
Any lead with less than 45% will be considered unusable.
The three-way map:
Hillary Clinton (D) vs. Donald Trump ® vs. Gary Johnson (L):
![[Image: 15;3&ME1=0;1;4&ME2=0;1;4&NE=2;;4&NE1=0;1...&NE3=0;1;7]](http://uselectionatlas.org/TOOLS/genusmap.php?year=2008&ev_c=1&pv_p=1&ev_p=1&type=calc&AL=2;;4&AK=2;7/19;3&AZ=2;2/13;4&AR=2;;4&CA=1;;4&CO=1;5/16;4&CT=1;;4&DE=1;;4&DC=0;3;1&FL=1;2/5;2&GA=2;2/10;4&HI=1;;5&ID=2;;4&IL=1;;4&IN=2;7/11;4&IA=2;4/16;4&KS=2;;4&KY=2;;5&LA=2;;4&MD=1;;5&MA=1;;4&MI=1;6/7;4&MN=1;7/15;4&MS=2;3/2;4&MO=2;;4&MT=2;;4&NV=1;3/12;4&NH=1;6/14;2&NJ=1;;4&NM=1;8/25;3&NY=1;;5&NC=4;0/9;1&ND=2;;5&OH=1;7/5;4&OK=2;;5&OR=1;;4&PA=1;4/14;4&RI=1;;4&SC=2;;4&SD=2;;4&TN=2;;5&TX=4;0/11;1&UT=2;15/13;3&VT=1;;4&VA=1;7/13;4&WA=1;;4&WV=2;;5&WI=1;2/13;3&WY=2;;5&ME=1;2/15;3&ME1=0;1;4&ME2=0;1;4&NE=2;;4&NE1=0;1;7&NE2=0;1;7&NE3=0;1;7)
I'm going with saturation for the raw vote for the leader. The percentage (3 for 30-39, 4 for ro-49, 5 for 50-59, 6 for 60-69...) will be the number for the saturation.
No internal number will be shown for any nominee who has at least 60% of the raw vote or has a lead of at least 8%. and at least 40% of the raw vote. Otherwise I will show
the leader by color (white for a tie), the margin for the leader, and the amount for Johnson (maybe McMullen added should he become relevant).
Note: Gary Johnson is in second place, above Donald Trump, in New Mexico. Jill Stein is at 10 (just under Johnson) in New Hampshire.
Hillary Clinton (D) vs. Donald Trump ®:
Tie -- white
60% or more -- saturation 8
55-59.9% -- saturation 6
50-54.9% -- saturation 5
45-49.9%, lead 8% or more -- saturation 4
45-49.9%, lead 4-7.9% -- saturation 3
45-49.9%, lead 1-3.9% -- saturation 2
Any lead with less than 45% will be considered unusable.
The three-way map:
Hillary Clinton (D) vs. Donald Trump ® vs. Gary Johnson (L):
I'm going with saturation for the raw vote for the leader. The percentage (3 for 30-39, 4 for ro-49, 5 for 50-59, 6 for 60-69...) will be the number for the saturation.
No internal number will be shown for any nominee who has at least 60% of the raw vote or has a lead of at least 8%. and at least 40% of the raw vote. Otherwise I will show
the leader by color (white for a tie), the margin for the leader, and the amount for Johnson (maybe McMullen added should he become relevant).
Note: Gary Johnson is in second place, above Donald Trump, in New Mexico. Jill Stein is at 10 (just under Johnson) in New Hampshire.
The ideal subject of totalitarian rule is not the convinced Nazi or the dedicated Communist but instead the people for whom the distinction between fact and fiction, true and false, no longer exists -- Hannah Arendt.