Arrival at Unraveling constellation:
Oldest GIs reached 80: 1981
Youngest GIs reached 60: 1984
Oldest Silents reached 60: 1985
Youngest Silents reached 40: 1982
Oldest Boomers reached 40: 1983
Youngest Boomers reached 20: 1980
Oldest Xs reached 20: 1981
Youngest Xs born: 1981 (or maybe 1980/1979? there are some 1980/1-borns who seem very Millennial to me).
Arrival at Crisis constellation:
Oldest Silents reached 80: 2005
Youngest Silents reached 60: 2002
Oldest Boomers reached 60: 2003
Youngest Boomers reached 40: 2000
Oldest Xs reached 40: 2001
Youngest Xs reached 20: 2001
Oldest Millennials reached 20: 2002
Youngest Millennials born: 2002, probably
Arrival at High constellation:
Oldest Boomers reach 80: 2023
Youngest Boomers reach 60: 2020
Oldest Xs reach 60: 2021
Youngest Xs reach 40: 2021
Oldest Millennials reach 40: 2022
Youngest Millennials reach 20: 2022
Youngest Homelanders born: 2020, possibly? Unless we have something like a major war or other conflict, the first post-Homelanders will probably be the first who do not remember the pandemic and associated economic and political crises (including those that followed it. A person who remembers 2022 will likely be a Homelander even if the virus itself is mostly no longer an issue by the end of next year).
Basically, long story short, pretty much everything points to 2026-2027 as the earliest likely 1T start date, making this a roughly 18-year turning. This fits with what seems to be a bit of a historical pattern of 4Ts being a little shorter than the others.
Another interesting thing to notice is those dates in the early 2000s decade. It looks like 9/11 just barely avoided starting the 4T, and would have done so if it had happened just a year or two later. I guess that's another hint of an explanation for the "2001-2008 3.5T" phenomenon. It also implies that we could have a "stepwise exit" to this turning, similar to the entrance, if a sufficiently intense event occurs in the next 2-3 years. Some kind of 4.5/0.5T for a lot of the 2020s.
So here's the question then, what should we look for in a likely spark? I imagine if no "bolt from the blue" type event occurs in 2026 or 2027, then the 2028 election could serve as the division (as 1984, 1908, and 1860 did), but a much more interesting discussion is what kind of shock could occur to start a new turning.
Oldest GIs reached 80: 1981
Youngest GIs reached 60: 1984
Oldest Silents reached 60: 1985
Youngest Silents reached 40: 1982
Oldest Boomers reached 40: 1983
Youngest Boomers reached 20: 1980
Oldest Xs reached 20: 1981
Youngest Xs born: 1981 (or maybe 1980/1979? there are some 1980/1-borns who seem very Millennial to me).
Arrival at Crisis constellation:
Oldest Silents reached 80: 2005
Youngest Silents reached 60: 2002
Oldest Boomers reached 60: 2003
Youngest Boomers reached 40: 2000
Oldest Xs reached 40: 2001
Youngest Xs reached 20: 2001
Oldest Millennials reached 20: 2002
Youngest Millennials born: 2002, probably
Arrival at High constellation:
Oldest Boomers reach 80: 2023
Youngest Boomers reach 60: 2020
Oldest Xs reach 60: 2021
Youngest Xs reach 40: 2021
Oldest Millennials reach 40: 2022
Youngest Millennials reach 20: 2022
Youngest Homelanders born: 2020, possibly? Unless we have something like a major war or other conflict, the first post-Homelanders will probably be the first who do not remember the pandemic and associated economic and political crises (including those that followed it. A person who remembers 2022 will likely be a Homelander even if the virus itself is mostly no longer an issue by the end of next year).
Basically, long story short, pretty much everything points to 2026-2027 as the earliest likely 1T start date, making this a roughly 18-year turning. This fits with what seems to be a bit of a historical pattern of 4Ts being a little shorter than the others.
Another interesting thing to notice is those dates in the early 2000s decade. It looks like 9/11 just barely avoided starting the 4T, and would have done so if it had happened just a year or two later. I guess that's another hint of an explanation for the "2001-2008 3.5T" phenomenon. It also implies that we could have a "stepwise exit" to this turning, similar to the entrance, if a sufficiently intense event occurs in the next 2-3 years. Some kind of 4.5/0.5T for a lot of the 2020s.
So here's the question then, what should we look for in a likely spark? I imagine if no "bolt from the blue" type event occurs in 2026 or 2027, then the 2028 election could serve as the division (as 1984, 1908, and 1860 did), but a much more interesting discussion is what kind of shock could occur to start a new turning.
2001, a very artistic hero and/or a very heroic artist