09-29-2016, 05:51 PM
(09-29-2016, 02:05 AM)Warren Dew Wrote:(09-26-2016, 06:27 AM)Mikebert Wrote: It is not my take on the theory. It's the existing scientific consensus "take".
That makes it less useful and perhaps even less credible to me, since it means there's no one here who can answer questions about it or defend it.
I agree with you that S&H dates do not always work out, but I've already said I thought they needed adjustment.
I can answer questions. I am applying concepts from the literature to the generational problem. This particular application is my work. The previous work has been in voting behavior in presidential elections and in voting patterns in the British Parliament. I am applying to the problem of generating new turnings, given an existing one as input. So, for example, if you assume that the Civil War and Reconstruction constitute a social moment as defined by S&H, then you can generate all the other American turnings from the Revolution to the present with a pretty good degree of fidelity. If you pick some other set of date for the Civil War 4T its all messed up.
