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George Friedman accepts 80 year cycle
#1
Noted geopolitical prognosticator George Friedman has come around to the idea of an 80 year cycle.

https://geopoliticalfutures.com/books-an...-the-calm/

He does believe in a 50 year socioeconomic cycle that beats against the 80 year institutional cycle.

I haven't read enough of the book to evaluate the 50 year cycle idea yet, but I did skim the conclusion.  He believes that this crisis, in the US, will pit the working class against the technorati, with the working class winning in the 2028 election after a failed technorati term - or possibly second term - starting in 2025.  Of course, he seems to take as a given that the leadership of the US will still be decided democratically at that point, something I'm not certain of.
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#2
I would reckon that his '50 year' cycle is really the half-cycle for the 80 cycle; ie. he has identified both the cultural turning point and the political turning point and just didn't combine them into one cycle.
Steve Barrera

[A]lthough one would like to change today's world back to the spirit of one hundred years or more ago, it cannot be done. Thus it is important to make the best out of every generation. - Hagakure

Saecular Pages
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#3
(04-25-2020, 07:28 AM)sbarrera Wrote: I would reckon that his '50 year' cycle is really the half-cycle for the 80 cycle; ie. he has identified both the cultural turning point and the political turning point and just didn't combine them into one cycle.

He traces it back as out of phase, though; his 50 year cycles began with Reagan, FDR, Hayes, Jackson, and Washington.  I'm not sure about Hayes, but for the rest of those, I'd agree they were turning points in the socially accepted economic approach.
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