09-06-2016, 11:59 AM
The Washington Post has polled all fifty states, missing only the District of Columbia and the separately-voting Congressional Districts of Maine and Nebraska. With such a rich collection of polls, I can begin anew/ The binary map: Hillary Clinton (D) vs. Donald Trump ®:
Binary map.
![[Image: genusmap.php?year=2008&ev_c=1&pv_p=1&ev_...&NE3=0;1;7]](http://uselectionatlas.org/TOOLS/genusmap.php?year=2008&ev_c=1&pv_p=1&ev_p=1&type=calc&AL=2;9;6&AK=2;3;4&AZ=1;11;2&AR=2;6;6&CA=1;55;6&CO=1;9;2&CT=1;7;5&DE=1;3;5&DC=0;3;1&FL=1;29;2&GA=4;16;1&HI=1;4;5&ID=2;4;5&IL=1;20;5&IN=2;11;5&IA=2;6;3&KS=2;6;4&KY=2;8;6&LA=2;8;5&MD=1;10;8&MA=1;11;6&MI=1;16;2&MN=1;10;4&MS=2;6;2&MO=2;10;5&MT=2;3;5&NV=1;6;3&NH=1;4;4&NJ=1;14;5&NM=1;5;5&NY=1;29;6&NC=4;15;1&ND=2;3;8&OH=2;18;2&OK=2;7;6&OR=1;7;6&PA=1;20;3&RI=1;4;6&SC=2;9;3&SD=2;3;5&TN=2;11;6&TX=1;38;2&UT=2;6;4&VT=1;3;6&VA=1;13;4&WA=1;12;5&WV=2;5;6&WI=1;10;2&WY=2;3;8&ME=1;2;4&ME1=0;1;4&ME2=0;1;4&NE=2;2;4&NE1=0;1;7&NE2=0;1;7&NE3=0;1;7)
Tie -- white
60% or more -- saturation 8
55-59.9% -- saturation 6
50-54.9% -- saturation 5
45-49.9%, lead 8% or more -- saturation 4
45-49.9%, lead 4-7.9% -- saturation 3
45-49.9%, lead 1-3.9% -- saturation 2
Any lead with less than 45% will be considered unusable. I might show the poll but not use it.
Three-way polling (I am not showing Jill Stein for now)
![[Image: 15;3&ME1=0;1;4&ME2=0;1;4&NE=2;;4&NE1=0;1...&NE3=0;1;7]](http://uselectionatlas.org/TOOLS/genusmap.php?year=2008&ev_c=1&pv_p=1&ev_p=1&type=calc&AL=2;;4&AK=2;7/19;3&AZ=2;2/13;3&AR=2;;4&CA=1;;4&CO=4;0/12;1&CT=1;;4&DE=1;;4&DC=0;3;1&FL=1;2/10;4&GA=1;1/10;3&HI=1;;5&ID=2;;4&IL=1;;4&IN=2;;4&IA=2;4/16;4&KS=2;;4&KY=2;;5&LA=2;;4&MD=1;;5&MA=1;11;4&MI=1;1/13;3&MN=1;7/15;4&MS=2;3/2;4&MO=2;;4&MT=2;;4&NV=1;3/12;4&NH=1;6/14;2&NJ=1;;4&NM=1;8/25;3&NY=1;;5&NC=2;1/10;4&ND=2;;5&OH=2;3/13;4&OK=2;;5&OR=1;;4&PA=1;3/12;4&RI=1;;4&SC=2;;4&SD=2;;4&TN=2;;5&TX=4;0/11;1&UT=2;7/23;3&VT=1;;4&VA=1;7/13;4&WA=1;;4&WV=2;;5&WI=1;2/13;3&WY=2;;5&ME=1;2/15;3&ME1=0;1;4&ME2=0;1;4&NE=2;;4&NE1=0;1;7&NE2=0;1;7&NE3=0;1;7)
I'm going with saturation for the raw vote for the leader. The percentage (3 for 30-39, 4 for 40-49, 5 for 50-59, 6 for 60-69...) will be the number for the saturation.
No internal number will be shown for any nominee who has at least 50% of the raw vote or has a lead of at least 8%. and at least 40% of the raw vote. Otherwise I will show the leader by color (white for a tie), the margin for the leader, and the amount for Johnson (maybe McMullen added should he become relevant).
Note: Gary Johnson is in second place, above Donald Trump, in New Mexico. Jill Stein is at 10 (just under Johnson) in New Hampshire.
Binary map.
Tie -- white
60% or more -- saturation 8
55-59.9% -- saturation 6
50-54.9% -- saturation 5
45-49.9%, lead 8% or more -- saturation 4
45-49.9%, lead 4-7.9% -- saturation 3
45-49.9%, lead 1-3.9% -- saturation 2
Any lead with less than 45% will be considered unusable. I might show the poll but not use it.
Three-way polling (I am not showing Jill Stein for now)
I'm going with saturation for the raw vote for the leader. The percentage (3 for 30-39, 4 for 40-49, 5 for 50-59, 6 for 60-69...) will be the number for the saturation.
No internal number will be shown for any nominee who has at least 50% of the raw vote or has a lead of at least 8%. and at least 40% of the raw vote. Otherwise I will show the leader by color (white for a tie), the margin for the leader, and the amount for Johnson (maybe McMullen added should he become relevant).
Note: Gary Johnson is in second place, above Donald Trump, in New Mexico. Jill Stein is at 10 (just under Johnson) in New Hampshire.
The ideal subject of totalitarian rule is not the convinced Nazi or the dedicated Communist but instead the people for whom the distinction between fact and fiction, true and false, no longer exists -- Hannah Arendt.