09-08-2016, 09:31 AM
Old polls compiled by PPP on a group that wishes to get the ninth Justice on the US Supreme Court.
Pennsylvania
47% Clinton (D)
42% Trump ®
http://weneednine.org/wp-content/uploads...lines1.pdf
New Hampshire
46% Clinton (D)
41% Trump ®
http://weneednine.org/wp-content/uploads...lines1.pdf
Iowa
45% Clinton (D)
43% Trump ®
http://weneednine.org/wp-content/uploads...lines1.pdf
What may be even more telling is that the gambit of Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell to ensure that Barack Obama does not get his appointee to the Supreme Court ratified no matter what does not help two Republican Senators get re-elected... and a third one, long-time incumbent Chuck Grassley, could be hurt should the Democrats succeed in using that against him.
Now a big and current poll of Florida by PPP for its own sake:
Trump 44
Clinton 43
Johnson 5
Stein 1
McMullin 1
Clinton 47
Trump 46
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/...orida.html
Colorado President by Magellan Strategies on 2016-08-31[/url]
Summary: D: 41%, R: 36%, I: 16%, U: 7%
Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
This is from a Republican-leaning pollster. No binary choice.
Hillary Clinton (D) vs. Donald Trump ®:
![[Image: genusmap.php?year=2008&ev_c=1&pv_p=1&ev_...&NE3=0;1;7]](http://uselectionatlas.org/TOOLS/genusmap.php?year=2008&ev_c=1&pv_p=1&ev_p=1&type=calc&AL=2;9;6&AK=2;3;4&AZ=1;11;2&AR=2;6;6&CA=1;55;6&CO=1;9;2&CT=1;7;5&DE=1;3;5&DC=0;3;1&FL=1;29;2&GA=4;16;1&HI=1;4;5&ID=2;4;4&IL=1;20;5&IN=2;11;5&IA=2;6;3&KS=2;6;4&KY=2;8;6&LA=2;8;5&MD=1;10;8&MA=1;11;6&MI=1;16;2&MN=1;10;4&MS=2;6;2&MO=2;10;5&MT=2;3;5&NV=1;6;3&NH=1;4;4&NJ=1;14;5&NM=1;5;5&NY=1;29;6&NC=4;15;1&ND=2;3;8&OH=2;18;2&OK=2;7;6&OR=1;7;6&PA=1;20;3&RI=1;4;6&SC=2;9;3&SD=2;3;5&TN=2;11;6&TX=1;38;2&UT=2;6;4&VT=1;3;6&VA=1;13;4&WA=1;12;5&WV=2;5;6&WI=1;10;2&WY=2;3;8&ME=1;2;4&ME1=0;1;4&ME2=0;1;4&NE=2;2;4&NE1=0;1;7&NE2=0;1;7&NE3=0;1;7)
Tie -- white
60% or more -- saturation 8
55-59.9% -- saturation 6
50-54.9% -- saturation 5
45-49.9%, lead 8% or more -- saturation 4
45-49.9%, lead 4-7.9% -- saturation 3
45-49.9%, lead 1-3.9% -- saturation 2
Any lead with less than 45% will be considered unusable.
The three-way map:
Hillary Clinton (D) vs. Donald Trump ® vs. Gary Johnson (L):
![[Image: 15;3&ME1=0;1;4&ME2=0;1;4&NE=2;;4&NE1=0;1...&NE3=0;1;7]](http://uselectionatlas.org/TOOLS/genusmap.php?year=2008&ev_c=1&pv_p=1&ev_p=1&type=calc&AL=2;;4&AK=2;7/19;3&AZ=2;2/13;3&AR=2;;4&CA=1;;4&CO=1;5/16;4&CT=1;;4&DE=1;;4&DC=0;3;1&FL=2;1/5;4&GA=1;1/10;3&HI=1;;5&ID=2;;4&IL=1;;4&IN=2;;4&IA=2;4/16;4&KS=2;;4&KY=2;;5&LA=2;;4&MD=1;;5&MA=1;11;4&MI=1;1/13;3&MN=1;7/15;4&MS=2;3/2;4&MO=2;;4&MT=2;;4&NV=1;3/12;4&NH=1;6/14;2&NJ=1;;4&NM=1;8/25;3&NY=1;;5&NC=2;1/10;4&ND=2;;5&OH=2;3/13;4&OK=2;;5&OR=1;;4&PA=1;3/12;4&RI=1;;4&SC=2;;4&SD=2;;4&TN=2;;5&TX=4;0/11;1&UT=2;7/23;3&VT=1;;4&VA=1;7/13;4&WA=1;;4&WV=2;;5&WI=1;2/13;3&WY=2;;5&ME=1;2/15;3&ME1=0;1;4&ME2=0;1;4&NE=2;;4&NE1=0;1;7&NE2=0;1;7&NE3=0;1;7)
I'm going with saturation for the raw vote for the leader. The percentage (3 for 30-39, 4 for ro-49, 5 for 50-59, 6 for 60-69...) will be the number for the saturation.
No internal number will be shown for any nominee who has at least 60% of the raw vote or has a lead of at least 8%. and at least 40% of the raw vote. Otherwise I will show
the leader by color (white for a tie), the margin for the leader, and the amount for Johnson (maybe McMullen added should he become relevant).
Note: Gary Johnson is in second place, above Donald Trump, in New Mexico. Jill Stein is at 10 (just under Johnson) in New Hampshire.
Pennsylvania
47% Clinton (D)
42% Trump ®
http://weneednine.org/wp-content/uploads...lines1.pdf
New Hampshire
46% Clinton (D)
41% Trump ®
http://weneednine.org/wp-content/uploads...lines1.pdf
Iowa
45% Clinton (D)
43% Trump ®
http://weneednine.org/wp-content/uploads...lines1.pdf
What may be even more telling is that the gambit of Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell to ensure that Barack Obama does not get his appointee to the Supreme Court ratified no matter what does not help two Republican Senators get re-elected... and a third one, long-time incumbent Chuck Grassley, could be hurt should the Democrats succeed in using that against him.
Now a big and current poll of Florida by PPP for its own sake:
Trump 44
Clinton 43
Johnson 5
Stein 1
McMullin 1
Clinton 47
Trump 46
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/...orida.html
Colorado President by Magellan Strategies on 2016-08-31[/url]
Summary: D: 41%, R: 36%, I: 16%, U: 7%
Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
This is from a Republican-leaning pollster. No binary choice.
Hillary Clinton (D) vs. Donald Trump ®:
Tie -- white
60% or more -- saturation 8
55-59.9% -- saturation 6
50-54.9% -- saturation 5
45-49.9%, lead 8% or more -- saturation 4
45-49.9%, lead 4-7.9% -- saturation 3
45-49.9%, lead 1-3.9% -- saturation 2
Any lead with less than 45% will be considered unusable.
The three-way map:
Hillary Clinton (D) vs. Donald Trump ® vs. Gary Johnson (L):
I'm going with saturation for the raw vote for the leader. The percentage (3 for 30-39, 4 for ro-49, 5 for 50-59, 6 for 60-69...) will be the number for the saturation.
No internal number will be shown for any nominee who has at least 60% of the raw vote or has a lead of at least 8%. and at least 40% of the raw vote. Otherwise I will show
the leader by color (white for a tie), the margin for the leader, and the amount for Johnson (maybe McMullen added should he become relevant).
Note: Gary Johnson is in second place, above Donald Trump, in New Mexico. Jill Stein is at 10 (just under Johnson) in New Hampshire.
The ideal subject of totalitarian rule is not the convinced Nazi or the dedicated Communist but instead the people for whom the distinction between fact and fiction, true and false, no longer exists -- Hannah Arendt.