Yes, Hillary Clinton is still winning. And yes, the media is lying to you.

[Galen]

(09-19-2016, 02:33 AM)Eric the Green Wrote:

(09-19-2016, 12:31 AM)Galen Wrote:

(09-19-2016, 12:09 AM)Bob Butler 54 Wrote: Judging from how he has botched his campaign, Trump has the potential....

Scott Adams seems to think otherwise and so far his prediction for a Trump win seems to be coming true.  From what I have seen even now Trump's persuasion game is far better than Hillary's.

The thrust of Bob's post it seems to me is that since Trump has botched his campaign, he would botch up his presidency. The former seems to be happening, and if Trump has the chance to actually win, due to his entertainment (i.e. "persuasive") skills, then he would get his chance to be the disaster we need for a regeneracy to follow him. Which is the most we can expect from him.

Scot Adams would again disagree with you because there are many features of his behavior that suggest he is actually pretty good at managing risk.  In fact, it looks like Trump has done pretty well with his unorthodox campaign tactics.  Adams' thesis at this time is that Trump's risk profile looks like that of an entrepreneur which wouldn't bother most Xers much.  When you are already screwed then it is time to start taking chances.  A surprising number of my Xer acquaintances have decided that Trump may not be the answer but it is a certainty that Hillary isn't.

As it is Hillary has trouble getting people to show up for her events.  This is not a good sign for here campaign.  Trump fills stadium and Hillary events have empty seats.  The social media data also indicate that she is not doing well.  This has been going on since before the convention.

Looking at the data I have to conclude that Trump will most likely win the election.  In this I believe that Scott Adams is correct.