06-28-2019, 01:41 AM
(This post was last modified: 06-28-2019, 02:07 AM by AspieMillennial.)
(06-28-2019, 01:26 AM)Bill the Piper Wrote: 2018 is too early for Prophets, since the necessary condition is not remembering the Crisis. I doubt any English-speaking nation will be over the crisis by 2022.
My breakdown of the postwar saeculum is as follows:
1945 - ca 1965 Atomic Shock (High)
1965 - 1980 Countercultural Awakening
1980 - 2006 Neoliberalism (Unravelling)
2006 - 202? Digital Transformation (Crisis)
Neoconservatism ended in 2006 with the Iraqi civil war, neoliberalism in 2008 with the recession. It definitely felt like change of an era.
Going by the idea that people become adults at 20, we can break down the generations as:
1925 - ca 1944 Silent
1945 - 1960 Boomer
1961 - 1985 Xer (including Xennials)
1986 - 200? Millennial (including older members of so-called gen Z)
200? - 202? gen Alpha (including younger members of so-called gen Z)
The current gen Z identity won't survive the younger members of this cohort coming of age during the beginning of the new saeculum. Kids born in 2007 will learn they have more in common with their younger cousins born in 2013 than with someone born in 2002.
As long as people come of age at about 20, the turnings won't last longer even if people routinely live to be 150. It's more probable the future people will experience two saeculums. Imagine the missionaries still being around!
Generations are far too long. Seeing someone born in 1961 and 1985 as the same generation is ridiculous. Technology and culture changed far too fast for that. Comparing 1980 and 2006 were two different universes.