Support for the status quo ordinarily disintegrates at some point during a Crisis Era. The focus of this Crisis Era, barring an apocalyptic war increasingly unlikely to happen, is COVID-19. This polling should not be confused with my other polling map. At this point, standing up to President Trump suddenly looks like very good politics.
Also posted at Leip's Election Atlas, where I composed these maps:
Approval only of the President's performance on COVID-19 -- not disapproval. Note the difference in the legend. I am treating anything from 46 to 49% approval as effectively a tie. To be sure, COVID-19 is the focus of most Americans' concerns these days as a clear and present danger to ourselves, or at least to people for whom we care. COVID-19 is about as dangerous as any war for which there is conscription, and I assure you -- I am doing everything possible to dodge its draft! This time, draft-dodging is without qualification a noble act!
![[Image: genusmap.php?year=2012&ev_c=1&pv_p=1&ev_...&NE3=0;1;6]](https://uselectionatlas.org/TOOLS/genusmap.php?year=2012&ev_c=1&pv_p=1&ev_p=1&type=calc&AL=2;9;5&AK=2;3;5&AZ=1;11;2&AR=2;6;2&CA=1;55;7&CO=1;9;5&CT=1;7;7&DE=1;3;7&DC=1;3;7&FL=4;29;1&GA=4;16;1&HI=1;4;7&ID=2;4;5&IL=1;20;7&IN=2;11;2&IA=4;6;1&KS=4;6;1&KY=2;8;2&LA=2;8;2&MD=1;10;7&MA=1;11;7&MI=1;16;7&MN=1;10;5&MS=4;6;1&MO=4;10;1&MT=1;3;2&NV=1;6;5&NH=1;4;7&NJ=1;14;7&NM=1;5;5&NY=1;29;5&NC=4;15;1&ND=2;3;5&OH=2;18;2&OK=2;7;2&OR=1;7;7&PA=1;20;7&RI=1;4;7&SC=4;9;1&SD=4;3;1&TN=2;11;2&TX=1;38;2&UT=4;6;1&VT=1;3;7&VA=1;13;2&WA=1;12;7&WV=2;5;5&WI=1;10;7&WY=2;3;5&ME=1;2;2&ME1=0;1;5&ME2=0;1;5&NE=2;2;5&NE1=0;1;5&NE2=0;1;5&NE3=0;1;6)
Trump approval:
60% or higher approval
55-59%
50-54%
46-49% (white)
43-45%
41 or 42%
40% or lower
Trump's "best" state is Wyoming, where he gets 59% approval on his handling of COVID-19. As you can see. sixteen states give Trump 40% or lower approval on his handling of COVID-19, which shows Trump in an unflattering light. To be sure, these states have usually been trouble for Trump for other things, but because COVID-19 is the equivalent of war as a clear and present danger, it is the current focus of political life.
Note that all Governors fare better than Trump in approval in their states (I take that the number for the District of Columbia is for the mayor or the majority of the city council, either Democratic.
![[Image: genusmap.php?year=1964&ev_c=1&pv_p=1&ev_...&NE3=0;1;6]](https://uselectionatlas.org/TOOLS/genusmap.php?year=1964&ev_c=1&pv_p=1&ev_p=1&type=calc&AL=2;;5&AK=2;;5&AZ=2;;6&AR=2;;6&CA=1;;8&CO=1;;6&CT=1;;6&DE=1;;7&DC=1;;5&FL=2;;5&GA=2;;5&HI=1;;3&ID=2;;7&IL=1;;6&IN=2;;7&IA=2;;5&KS=1;;8&KY=1;;6&LA=1;;6&MD=2;;8&MA=2;;8&MI=1;;6&MN=1;;7&MS=2;;5&MO=2;;6&MT=1;;6&NV=1;;6&NH=2;;7&NJ=1;;6&NM=1;;6&NY=1;;7&NC=1;;6&ND=2;;6&OH=2;;8&OK=2;;5&OR=1;;6&PA=1;;6&RI=1;;7&SC=1;;5&SD=2;;4&TN=2;;6&TX=2;;6&UT=2;;6&VT=2;;7&VA=1;;6&WA=1;;7&WV=2;;7&WI=1;;5&WY=2;;6&ME=1;;7&ME1=0;1;5&ME2=0;1;5&NE=2;;6&NE1=0;1;5&NE2=0;1;5&NE3=0;1;6)
Approval of State governors
Red - Democrats; Blue - Republicans
The saturation is the tens digit of approval (first digit of an approval number. Thus Kristi Noem (R, SD) gets a saturation of "4" in the color red for 49% approval and David Ige (D, HI) gets only 39% approval and blue at the saturation level of "3". Those two Governors get the worst approval ratings.
You will notice that Governors of Maryland, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, and Vermont are Republicans and that Governors of Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Montana, and North Carolina are Democrats, and thus we have the anomalous colors for those states.
Source: http://www.kateto.net/COVID19%20CONSORTI...202020.pdf
Also posted at Leip's Election Atlas, where I composed these maps:
Approval only of the President's performance on COVID-19 -- not disapproval. Note the difference in the legend. I am treating anything from 46 to 49% approval as effectively a tie. To be sure, COVID-19 is the focus of most Americans' concerns these days as a clear and present danger to ourselves, or at least to people for whom we care. COVID-19 is about as dangerous as any war for which there is conscription, and I assure you -- I am doing everything possible to dodge its draft! This time, draft-dodging is without qualification a noble act!
Trump approval:
60% or higher approval
55-59%
50-54%
46-49% (white)
43-45%
41 or 42%
40% or lower
Trump's "best" state is Wyoming, where he gets 59% approval on his handling of COVID-19. As you can see. sixteen states give Trump 40% or lower approval on his handling of COVID-19, which shows Trump in an unflattering light. To be sure, these states have usually been trouble for Trump for other things, but because COVID-19 is the equivalent of war as a clear and present danger, it is the current focus of political life.
Note that all Governors fare better than Trump in approval in their states (I take that the number for the District of Columbia is for the mayor or the majority of the city council, either Democratic.
Approval of State governors
Red - Democrats; Blue - Republicans
The saturation is the tens digit of approval (first digit of an approval number. Thus Kristi Noem (R, SD) gets a saturation of "4" in the color red for 49% approval and David Ige (D, HI) gets only 39% approval and blue at the saturation level of "3". Those two Governors get the worst approval ratings.
You will notice that Governors of Maryland, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, and Vermont are Republicans and that Governors of Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Montana, and North Carolina are Democrats, and thus we have the anomalous colors for those states.
Source: http://www.kateto.net/COVID19%20CONSORTI...202020.pdf
The ideal subject of totalitarian rule is not the convinced Nazi or the dedicated Communist but instead the people for whom the distinction between fact and fiction, true and false, no longer exists -- Hannah Arendt.