06-03-2020, 12:51 PM
(This post was last modified: 06-03-2020, 01:07 PM by Tim Randal Walker.)
Checked the archived threads. The thread I referred to is "Objections to Generational Dynamics". Page 106. Matt 1989 made a list of five, but John Xenakis questioned if those were really 4Ts. I have no opinion as I know almost nothing about what was listed.
Matt commented that 98% of 4Ts included some sort of war. And that 85% of 4Ts included a full blown Crisis war.
Matt made a list of what he thought were conflicts that didn't fit as full blown Crisis war:
1. Egyptian Revolution (1944-1953).
2. UPC Revolt in Cameroon (1955-1960).
3. Brazilian Dictatorship (1964-1974).
4. Military Dominance in Ecuador (1960-1972).
5. Peru Instability and Military Dominance (1965-1985).
I recall a few mentions of violence free 4Ts. (Or at least no more violence than is usual for the other three turnings). A late 19th Reform Crisis in Britain. A Confederation Crisis in Canada. I think there was supposed to be one in Sweden. I am not sure if these included a true Crisis mood.
Matt commented that 98% of 4Ts included some sort of war. And that 85% of 4Ts included a full blown Crisis war.
Matt made a list of what he thought were conflicts that didn't fit as full blown Crisis war:
1. Egyptian Revolution (1944-1953).
2. UPC Revolt in Cameroon (1955-1960).
3. Brazilian Dictatorship (1964-1974).
4. Military Dominance in Ecuador (1960-1972).
5. Peru Instability and Military Dominance (1965-1985).
I recall a few mentions of violence free 4Ts. (Or at least no more violence than is usual for the other three turnings). A late 19th Reform Crisis in Britain. A Confederation Crisis in Canada. I think there was supposed to be one in Sweden. I am not sure if these included a true Crisis mood.