COVID-19 is the perfect 4T event?

[Eric the Green]

(06-05-2020, 02:47 PM)Isoko Wrote: Bob and User,

Honestly when it comes to Trump and his polling numbers, they seem to be where they were in 2016. The people who disapprove are the ones who are quite vocal about it. It's the silent majority we have to take  into consideration. 

They are going to be faced with a bumbling and deeply unpopular Joe Biden Vs Trump. If Trump restores law and order and Biden does something stupid like picking an incredibly SJW tier candidate for VP, I think that silent majority are going to hold their noses and turn out again in support of Trump. Better the devil you know scenario. 

Had the Dems picked a very and likeable candidate then Trump would be easily out of office. However it's Joe Biden and that silent majority is still very cheesed off with the left so I think Donald is getting another term if I'm honest.

Trump is a talented demagogue who is an effective and skilled liar and used-car salesman. But the American people are not always so easily fooled as 46% of them were in 2016. There was never a silent majority for him. He squeaked through because of our outdated electoral college, conceived to keep the slave states in the union. It is still doing that.

Biden is not far below Trump in native candidate talent, whereas Hillary was a weak and unpopular candidate. Biden will do better. He is at least congenial and can be dynamic, despite his garbles and stutters. 

Trump is trying the "law and order" rant that Nixon used to appeal to his "silent majority" to first get elected in 1968. But this time law and order has already been restored, while the disorder that Trump himself has created gets worse and worse, and he has already gone through several watergates whereas Nixon's was pretty much hidden until after his re-election. Trump is now thoroughly exposed to all as a sociopath without principle. The only reason he has even 40% support now is that the USA is split into 2 tribes, and all that the "red" tribe cares about is that Trump supports their policies of low taxes, laissez faire for business, bans on abortions, bans on immigrants and easy access to guns. As long as their dear leader supports these things, up to 40% won't give a damn about how much trouble he creates for the country, or how outrageous or undemocratic and unconstitutional his behavior is.

The problem is not who the Dems picked. They picked possibly the most likable qualified candidate among those who stepped up to run. A few others who might have stepped up are more likeable. The trouble is not that the Dems didn't pick a likeable candidate in 2020. The problem is that the most likeable candidates didn't run.

But if Biden picks Susan Rice as VP, then the Dems will have a likeable and capable candidate for the next election. If he doesn't, then their only chance will probably be with one of the other likeable candidates who refused to run in 2020. Top of that list is Mitch Landrieu. Biden might pick him for a cabinet position, I have heard. That might give him a chance in 2024.

2024 might turn out to be even more crucial than 2020. The fourth turning will not be over, and we may be on the verge of civil war plus more foreign war. That's why the VP choice is more crucial than most people think. Biden is very likely only good for one term, and may not be re-elected if he runs.

If the candidate horoscope scores are close (i.e. Warren), or if the incumbent party's candidate's score is too low (i.e. Harris), the challenging party candidate is favored. If Biden just chooses Harris or Warren because they gained some popularity and name recognition by running in 2020, the Republicans will have a good shot at getting back in in 2024 and ruining the country at the end of the Crisis.

"honestly I'd prefer Trump over him because Biden is just a boring old man who is losing his mind. At least with Trump he is entertaining..."

Trump is more entertaining. It's also more entertaining to watch an airplane crash than a report by Fauci on the virus. America's news media just loves to entertain us, and that's why they loved Trump in 2016.

Trump may not be losing his mind, but he had no mind to lose.

More entertaining...