Donald Trump: polls of approval and favorability

[pbrower2a]

Public Policy Polling has a laundry list of polling data on President Trump. The only thing that looks good for him is that he would not lose a primary challenge. The rest?

Quote:One reason for the strong position Democrats are in is fallout from the GOP's failed efforts on health care, and our new poll makes it clear.  Paul Ryan is at a 25/51 approval rating, Mitch McConnell is at 14/61, and Congress as a whole has a 9/76 approval.

Only 27% of voters support the most recent Republican health care bill to 53% who oppose it. By contrast the Affordable Care Act continues to have new found popularity with 48% of voters in favor of it and 34% against. Asked which of the bills they prefer the Affordable Care Act beats out the Graham-Cassidy repeal bill 53-34, and only 32% of voters think the best path forward on health care is to repeal the Affordable Care Act while 62% think it's best to keep it and makes fixes as necessary.

It is not going to help keep a Republican majority in Congress.

Quote:The health care debate is having a bad impact on Republicans electorally. By a 19 point margin voters say they're less likely to support a member of Congress who voted for the health care repeal bill- 48% say they're less likely to vote for such an incumbent next year to only 29% who say they're more likely to.

Approval and issues:

Quote:Donald Trump continues to be unpopular with 42% of voters approving of him to 53% who disapprove. Some new issues that have cropped up in the last few weeks are causing him problems in addition to the ongoing issues causing his unpopularity. Only 37% of voters think it's appropriate for him to refer to a foreign leader as 'Rocket Man' to 56% who think it's inappropriate. Only 24% of voters think it's appropriate for him to use campaign funds to pay for his legal expenses, to 64% who think it's inappropriate. And only 20% of voters think it's appropriate for his cabinet secretaries to fly on taxpayer funded private plans, to 71% who say it's inappropriate.

It lo0oks as if he is doing much wrong. And this is before we get the whole story on Puerto Rico.

Character?

Quote:Beyond those specific issues voters continue to have concerns with Trump's general temperament. Only 39% of voters think he's honest, to 54% who consider him to be dishonest. A plurality of voters- 47%- consider Trump to be mentally unbalanced to only 45% who consider him to be mentally stable. 58% of voters still want to see Trump's tax returns, to only 35% who think it isn't necessary for him to release them. Only 35% of voters think Trump has fulfilled his core campaign promise to 'Make America Great Again' to 53% who think he has not delivered. And for the fifth month in a row we find voters in support of impeachment- 48% favor it, to 43% who are opposed.

Trump vs. media:

Quote:Do you have a higher opinion of Donald Trump or…

CBS, 53/38

NBC, 52/39

ABC, 52/39

Washington Post, 52/39

CNN, 51/38

New York Times, 52/40

ESPN, 48/38

(ESPN is sports, and not news. Hey, PPP -- you might ask about Nickelodeon, Discovery Channel, and Turner Classic Movies the next time).

Tales of collusion between the President's campaign and entities in Russia have some credibility:

Q23
Would you support or oppose an independent investigation into Russia’s involvement in the2016 Presidential election and ties to key Presidential aides? (55% support, 32% oppose, 13% not sure)

Q24
Who do you think Russia wanted to win the  2016 election: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump?

23% Clinton -- 56% Trump -- 21% not sure

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Q25
Do you think that members of Donald Trump’scampaign team worked in association with Russia to help Trump win the election for President, or not?

44% think that members of Donald Trump’scampaign team worked in association with Russia to help Trump win the election for President
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42% do not think that members of Donald Trump’s campaign team worked in association with Russia to help Trump win the election for
President
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14% are not sure
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Q26
If evidence comes out that proves conclusively that members of Donald Trump’s campaign team worked in association with Russia to help Trump win the election for President, do you think Trump should continue to serve as President, or do you think he should resign?

39% stay in office, 52% would want him to resign, and 9% are unsure. .

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Now for some imaginable and some unlikely match-ups:

Quote:Trump continues to fare very poorly in possible match ups against Democrats for 2020. We tested Hillary Clinton against Trump this month for the first time, mostly as a baseline for comparison against other possible Democratic candidates, and Clinton leads Trump by 5 points at 47/42. 3 Democrats we tested clearly perform more strongly against Trump than Clinton- Joe Biden who leads by 13 points at 53/40, Bernie Sanders who leads by 11 points at 51/40, and Michelle Obama who leads by 10 points at 51/41. Biden and Sanders both win over 10% of people who voted for Trump last fall while losing almost no Clinton voters.

Other Democrats we tested against Trump are Cory Booker who leads him 47/40, Elizabeth Warren who leads him 47/41, Kirsten Gillibrand who leads him 42/39, and Kamala Harris who leads him 41/40. The percentage support the Democrat gets in these match ups varies from 41% to 53% probably depending on their name recognition, but Trump's support is pretty constant in the 39-42% range against all of these possible challengers.

Voters also wish by a 52/41 margin that Barack Obama was still President instead of Trump.

Ouch!

But now for some good news for President Trump:

Quote:...(H)e's still in pretty firm control of the Republican Party. By a 34 point margin, 61/27, GOP voters say they'd rather have Trump be their candidate for President in 2020 than anyone else. His margins against specific potential Republican challengers are even more emphatic. He leads Mike Pence by 38 points at 59/21, John Kasich by 50 points at 68/18, and Ted Cruz by 53 points at 68/15. His leadership style might not be doing much to help him win over Americans in the middle but it's helping him keep a strong hold on his party base.

and:

People prefer Donald Trump to Mike Pence, 39% to 32%, so Mike Pence was a good choice as 'impeachment insurance'.