02-20-2019, 08:25 AM
Virginia, Quinnipiac:
Virginia is definitely not Trump country. Only 36% of Virginia voters approve of him, and 59% disapprove of him. At this point, Virginia looks like a Democratic runaway for the Presidential election in 2020.
Northam: 39-44.
Kaine: 55-35
Warner 51-31
Democratic Party favorability 44-46
Republican Party favorability 33-56
Third trimester abortions if the physician determines that a woman's life or health is at risk
Support 58 Oppose 31
Fairfax is in deep trouble on the charges of sexual assault.
https://poll.qu.edu/virginia/release-det...aseID=2600
Three other states check in. One poll of Iowa has Trump at 46-50 (no big change); in Texas he is actually treading water at 48-47. On the other hand he is at 40-53 in North Carolina, which is undeniably catastrophic if it isn't an outlier. Trump at 36-59 in Virginia suggests that the 40-53 in North Carolina is not a flagrant outlier.
![[Image: genusmap.php?year=1964&ev_c=1&pv_p=1&ev_...&NE3=0;1;6]](http://uselectionatlas.org/TOOLS/genusmap.php?year=1964&ev_c=1&pv_p=1&ev_p=1&type=calc&AL=0;;6&AK=1;*;2&AZ=1;*;2&AR=0;;6&CA=1;;7&CO=1;;5&CT=0;;5&DE=0;;5&DC=0;;9&FL=1;*;2&GA=1;*;2&HI=0;;7&ID=0;;6&IL=0;;5&IN=0;;5&IA=1;*;2&KS=0;;5&KY=0;;6&LA=0;;5&MD=1;;7&MA=1;;7&MI=1;*;2&MN=0;;4&MS=0;;5&MO=0;;5&MT=0;;5&NV=1;;5&NH=1;;7&NJ=0;;5&NM=0;;5&NY=1;;7&NC=1;;5&ND=0;;5&OH=0;;5&OK=0;;6&OR=0;;5&PA=0;;5&RI=0;;6&SC=0;;5&SD=0;;5&TN=0;;5&TX=2;;2&UT=1;;2&VT=0;;6&VA=1;;7&WA=0;;5&WV=0;;6&WI=1;*;2&WY=0;;6&ME=1;;5&ME1=1;1;7&ME2=4;1;1&NE=0;;5&NE1=0;1;5&NE2=0;1;5&NE3=0;1;6)
With cumulative electoral vote totals in each category.
55% and higher
50-54%
49% or less and positive 38
tie (white)
44-49% and negative 97
40-43% 34
under 40% 122
An asterisk will be applied to any state in which the President's approval rating is above 43% for which the disapproval rating is 50% or higher.
No segregation of districts in Maine and Nebraska -- yet.
31 more states, and 248 electoral votes to go!
Virginia is definitely not Trump country. Only 36% of Virginia voters approve of him, and 59% disapprove of him. At this point, Virginia looks like a Democratic runaway for the Presidential election in 2020.
Northam: 39-44.
Kaine: 55-35
Warner 51-31
Democratic Party favorability 44-46
Republican Party favorability 33-56
Third trimester abortions if the physician determines that a woman's life or health is at risk
Support 58 Oppose 31
Fairfax is in deep trouble on the charges of sexual assault.
https://poll.qu.edu/virginia/release-det...aseID=2600
Three other states check in. One poll of Iowa has Trump at 46-50 (no big change); in Texas he is actually treading water at 48-47. On the other hand he is at 40-53 in North Carolina, which is undeniably catastrophic if it isn't an outlier. Trump at 36-59 in Virginia suggests that the 40-53 in North Carolina is not a flagrant outlier.
With cumulative electoral vote totals in each category.
55% and higher
50-54%
49% or less and positive 38
tie (white)
44-49% and negative 97
40-43% 34
under 40% 122
An asterisk will be applied to any state in which the President's approval rating is above 43% for which the disapproval rating is 50% or higher.
No segregation of districts in Maine and Nebraska -- yet.
31 more states, and 248 electoral votes to go!
The ideal subject of totalitarian rule is not the convinced Nazi or the dedicated Communist but instead the people for whom the distinction between fact and fiction, true and false, no longer exists -- Hannah Arendt.