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The mystery of Millennial politics |
Posted by: Dan '82 - 06-25-2016, 07:55 PM - Forum: The Millennial Generation
- Replies (67)
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http://www.pleeps.org/2016/06/23/the-mys...-politics/
Quote:Millennials are politically weird. If it were just that they’re generally more liberal than older folks, that wouldn’t be weird. In fact, that might be a reasonable thing to expect from a racially diverse and less religious group that has been unduly punished by the Great Recession. But the weirdness comes in the detailed pattern of their liberalism—in the issues on which the do (and do not) show unusual liberal tendencies. This pattern, as far as I can tell, is genuinely new and remains almost wholly unexplained.
First I’ll show the pattern. Then I’ll talk about it, though it’ll mostly be about how the usual ideas fail to make sense of it. The chart below shows the extent to which Millennials are more liberal (bars to the left) or occasionally slightly more conservative (bars to the right) on ideology measures and on specific issues in public opinion. The green bars show simple correlations—without taking anything else into consideration, to what extent are Millennials different from the rest of the public? The blue bars show what’s left over in these correlations when the statistical model also takes into account standard demographics such as race, immigrant status, religion, education, and income—to what extent are Millennials different from the rest of the public after taking standard demographics into account...
http://www.pleeps.org/2016/06/23/the-mys...-politics/
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The Making of Patrick Murphy |
Posted by: Dan '82 - 06-22-2016, 11:12 PM - Forum: General Political Discussion
- Replies (3)
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A lengthy piece about Murphy who may well be the first Millennial in the Senate.
Quote:Today Congressman Patrick Murphy is on the fast track to the United States Senate. After just three years in the House, the Democrat from West Palm Beach is the anointed star of his party, enjoying the full-throated backing of President Barack Obama and Vice-President Joe Biden – both of whom came to Miami in recent weeks to campaign for him.
Tens of millions of dollars will be spent to get him elected, with Democrats hoping to take back control of the Senate if he prevails.
Republicans, fearing no one can stop the handsome 33-year-old, have pressured Marco Rubio to jump back into the race and try and retain his seat.
http://miami.cbslocal.com/2016/06/22/the...ck-murphy/
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What If We Did THIS? |
Posted by: Anthony '58 - 06-21-2016, 08:44 AM - Forum: Economics
- Replies (8)
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Call it Andy Stern meets Milton Friedman.
1. Give every U.S. citizen not in jail and over 21 a $12,500 refundable tax credit, indexed annually to the CPI.
2. Subject all income to a flat tax, say 25%, with no exemptions or credits whatsoever - no exceptions - besides #1 above.
3. Abolish the minimum wage altogether.
One side of our political divide wants to judge the poor for their laziness, while the other side wants to judge the rich for their greed.
But how about an economic policy that judges nobody?
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2T Vs. 3T pop culture |
Posted by: Eric the Green - 06-20-2016, 11:23 PM - Forum: Entertainment and Media
- Replies (50)
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(06-20-2016, 11:16 PM)Ragnarök_62 Wrote: Well then, in the event of a draft, blue state inhabitants go and red state inhabitants stay.
For younger folks, I presume.
Quote:"Smarter" as per Eric's criteria. Non sequiter.
The criteria being the facts. But I hadn't assumed that all facts have my name on them. I am not Trump; I don't put my name on everything.
Quote:That would be a case of prolonged adolescence. Middle aged folks who think they can outdo some young buck who has been to boot camp are pretty much deluded, IMHO. Now... Rags knows he's middle aged and confines gun usage only to squirrels and game fowl. 12 gauges and .22's are pretty mickey mouse wrt any sort of military sort of thingie. Of course since they're mikey mouse, .gov needs to butt out of that stuff.
I suppose so, if they can't kill people too.
Quote: there is a serious needle in haystack problem here. It is for that reason, the FBI botched Orlando.
What do the spooks want now? Less worthless data populating their diskie dumpies? Fuck no, stupid is as stupid does, they want more worthless data like adding spy stuff to lamp posts. I mean really, I have to use the Ruskie's news to find out useful stuff nowadays.
They do seem to stop a lot of terrorist attacks.They seem to do a remarkable job at that. I think they just need to be careful about letting potential wackos off the hook, and do as much as possible to deny wackos guns.
Quote:The MSM = a bunch of worthless sycophants.
They seem mostly interested in ratings.
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Generational Chaos Ahead |
Posted by: Dan '82 - 06-20-2016, 01:21 AM - Forum: Neil Howe & The First Turning
- Replies (2)
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http://www.mauldineconomics.com/frontlin...haos-ahead
Quote:“This generation of Americans has a rendezvous with destiny.”
– Franklin D. Roosevelt
“Each generation imagines itself to be more intelligent that the one that went before it, and wiser than the one that comes after it.”
– George Orwell
![[Image: 160619-01.jpg]](http://ggc-mauldin-images.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/newsletters/160619-01.jpg)
After a lifetime of watching financial markets, the speed at which traders react still amazes me. Sometimes it seems to me like they hail from the “ready, shoot, aim,” school of thinking. Economic trends almost never turn on a dime; and though we can look back and find a moment that was the exact bottom or top, there were forces building that caused people to move from one side of the boat to the other, tilting the economy or markets or society in a different direction. New data can alter our probabilities – but rarely as fast as trading algorithms seem to think. Long-term trends, by definition, change slowly.
I had that thought in mind when I asked Neil Howe to be our kick-off speaker at the Strategic Investment Conference and invited Niall Ferguson to wrap it all up three days later. As historians, they both gaze back through time to identify patterns and draw lessons. They were the bookends who framed the wide-ranging discussions in between. They have both been very influential in helping me develop my understanding of the world.
As I said two weeks ago, the experts I brought to the conference, even the ones I expected to be raging bulls, were mostly bearish. The surprise was Niall Ferguson, who has become the new raging bull. That’s pretty much the one thing you can count on at my conference: surprises! But you can see that even Niall is deeply concerned about much of what is happening in the world...
http://www.mauldineconomics.com/frontlin...haos-ahead
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