How different is Western Europe's saecular timeline?

[tg63]

(12-28-2016, 06:20 AM)David Horn Wrote: 4Ts only guarantee conflict, not resolution.  Do you think that the political environment can be any more oppositional without chaos erupting?  We may have achieved a balance of terror this time, with neither side able to move forward, and the risk of breaking the china just to make changes is simply too great in this nuclear age.

Interesting concepts.  I've been mulling this from a different perspective - how technology might be impacting a 4T. 

If we take a common theme of past crises involving people rising up in some way against oppressive leadership/government, domestic or foreign, that by definition involves acts of subversion.  In our current day & age, that is a heck of a lot harder to accomplish - law enforcement, surveillance, social media, etc have created an environment where any acts will have a spotlight shone on them immediately ... while that can be good for "spreading the word", it makes it difficult for public sentiment to coalesce around any rebellious ideas ... esp. if the state has influence over how it's positioned in the media (e.g. criminal acts vs building of a movement).

It's not forever tho ... I suspect that if the state tries to get too much control it won't matter, technology just delays the inevitable - some sort of rationalization between state power and the will of the people.  But those delays can turn what otherwise would be a calm, reason-based process into a much more confrontational and violent one.

Overall I still believe that TFT is based on a valid framework.  I'm not sold though on it's ability to predict future events, other than how the mood of the people changes over time.