05-27-2016, 09:04 AM
(05-22-2016, 04:14 PM)Kinser79 Wrote:Kinser Wrote:Generally speaking those who subscribe to a Mega-Saeculum theory believe that the Black Death was a Mega-Crisis 4T or a natural event so catestrophic as to reset the Megasaecular clock to be a Mega-Crisis 4T. The effect of losing between 1/3rd to 1/2 of the European population put major stress on the feudal system which had been operating at that time between 3 and 4 centuries (or roughly 3 or 4 saeculua).You are painting with broad brush. You mention the Black Death as a mega crisis 4T which makes the 1378-1487 period a mega-Resolution (mega-High). So what distinguishes a mega-High 2T (1406-1435) from the previous mega crisis 2T (1305-1328)? And what does it share (that the other 2Ts do not) with the 1822-1844 mega-High 2T?
As such that lead to a Mega-Awakening during the Reformation which started the downward slide of late medieval society or early modern society depending on your point of view culminating in a Mega-Crisis that burned away much of the old order in the French Revolution, American Revolution and the Charterist and other English Reform movements. Other countries on the continent tried to suppress the revolutions and lead to massive fire storms in 1848 which should be a 2T.
This of course means that in the US in particular but also UK and France the saeculum immediately following the French and other revolutions would be a Mega-Resolution (or high if you prefer but I hate that descriptor because it leads people into wrongful thinking as to what a 1T in general is like and Mega-1Ts in particular). In the US we would call it the Civil War Saeculum. Which leads to the Great Power Saeculum where through the whole saeculum we have new ideas about government and economics, new technologies, new energy sources new everything.
In the MillSaec we end up with a major drawn out contest between the forces of Capitalism and Liberalism (and I mean that in the classical sense) and Socialism, and finally leading to a 4T that really turns into a cultural version of a civil war.
If you cherry pick a turning here and there and date them broadly it can seem to appear that there is something to it. But when you nail down the timing and look at specific periods in specific locations, it breaks down failing to fit a pattern as often or more often as it succeeds. It is called a theory when its really more of a scantily-researched conjecture.
