02-25-2017, 04:29 PM
Quote:... which is better than assuming things will erupt because ... TRUMP!, or any other driver. My concern is simple: there is too little pain being suffered to generate the level of backlash needed for real change. If that changes, so will the odds of a 4T level era leading to ???, which is another problem. I don't see any vision of what should occur that is in harmony with what can occur.
We already have a global elite that needs no fixed geography to be successful, AGW continuing and even accelerating, technological advancements that alter the capital/labor balance entirely and a generation that is emerging into power that is still navel gazing. Show me how you manage to generate change that accommodates (or alters) that.
The rapid changes you mentioned, among others, are precisely why the post-Cold War political here and abroad is not going to last, and is presently coming apart at the seams. The world will look very different in 10-15 years. It just probably won't look different in the way that you want.