The mystery of Millennial politics

[David Horn]

(02-25-2017, 04:29 PM)SomeGuy Wrote:

Quote:... which is better than assuming things will erupt because ... TRUMP!, or any other driver. My concern is simple: there is too little pain being suffered to generate the level of backlash needed for real change.  If that changes, so will the odds of a 4T level era leading to ???, which is another problem.  I don't see any vision of what should occur that is in harmony with what can occur. 

We already have a global elite that needs no fixed geography to be successful, AGW continuing and even accelerating, technological advancements that alter the capital/labor balance entirely and a generation that is emerging into power that is still navel gazing.  Show me how you manage to generate change that accommodates (or alters) that.

The rapid changes you mentioned, among others, are precisely why the post-Cold War political here and abroad is not going to last, and is presently coming apart at the seams.  The world will look very different in 10-15 years.  It just probably won't look different in the way that you want. 

Except for the issue of foot soldiers, who seem dispassionate about any process that interferes with their ability to do pretty much as they please.  The GIs were more than a bit selfish and self centered, but they had the courtesy to wait until they had actually earned the right.  Millennials seem to be easily incensed about social justice issues and they are more than a little pissed-off at the cost they have to bear to get an education.  They can find those issues by looking in the mirror.  Boomers did much the same thing, and it lead to a backlash and a coopted "revolution".  If all the talk and sign-waving leads to real actions, I'll be both happy and contrite. 

Which is not to say that these issues never get addressed.  I just don't see them being intense enough at the moment.  The one wild card is Trump.  He's trying to light the fire ... trying really hard every day.