01-13-2020, 05:10 PM
(This post was last modified: 01-13-2020, 05:17 PM by Remy Renault.)
I predict if the Democrats win in 2020, a major overseas shooting war is unlikely, not because there aren't Democrats with a vested interest in America's current foreign policy trajectory (there are many), but because the political polarization at home ushering in the Cold Civil War will escalate to such a degree and become too big to ignore that whoever's in the White House will have no choice but to table foreign policy preoccupations in order to conquer the demons at home. This may of course entail major sacrifices on the part of the American foreign policy establishment, such as allowing Putin to "have Europe" just as they allowed Stalin to have Central Europe after World War II. Who knows what would happen in the Middle East...
Once the domestic issues have been sorted out, the US will be too politically exhausted and won't be motivated enough to 'Stop Putin' in my opinion, which means he'll get exactly what he wants, the end of Atlanticism.
And as for the issue of economic inequality vs. climate change, one issue could conceivably resolve the other by proxy or at least be a big step in the right direction for the other, just like with the Depression and World War II. You never know.
And quite honestly, a war for the "soul of Western civilization" with Putin will not be worth it on our part, even if liberal Europeans will be infuriated. And they'll have no power to stop him without American military might seeing as the E.U. is just as political fractured as the US is right now.
Once the domestic issues have been sorted out, the US will be too politically exhausted and won't be motivated enough to 'Stop Putin' in my opinion, which means he'll get exactly what he wants, the end of Atlanticism.
And as for the issue of economic inequality vs. climate change, one issue could conceivably resolve the other by proxy or at least be a big step in the right direction for the other, just like with the Depression and World War II. You never know.
And quite honestly, a war for the "soul of Western civilization" with Putin will not be worth it on our part, even if liberal Europeans will be infuriated. And they'll have no power to stop him without American military might seeing as the E.U. is just as political fractured as the US is right now.