08-21-2020, 04:06 PM
(This post was last modified: 08-21-2020, 04:09 PM by Eric the Green.)
(08-21-2020, 01:42 PM)Tim Randal Walker Wrote: Was thinking about Erics comments.
First, if Biden wins, I think that he will be a one term president, because he is getting just too old. Second, I suspect that Eric is right, that if Harris runs for president next time around she will lose. Really, despite Obama, I very much doubt that a person "of color" can win the presidency during the rest of this 4T. I think Obama won because of a very particular set of circumstances, and once in office he was not only opposed but reviled. And outside of the party's base, I doubt that Harris will help Biden win.
As for winning the presidency during the rest of this 4T, I suspect that the only alternative to a white man that has even a slight chance would be a white woman.
If Biden/Harris should win, I expect that it would be by a thin margin. With a Biden administration being notable not so much by what it accomplishes as by what it blocks by simply being in the White House.
I agree that Harris is no help and won't win the presidency, but I am not going by race, but by the talent of the candidate.
The large Republican base hates candidates of color. But they hate any Democrat regardless of color.
I thought Harris' convention speech was typical dullsville for her and too much about herself.
It depends on which candidates are available, and how talented they are. Horoscope scores are a good index. I don't claim they are infallible, but they are reliable.
I don't see a white woman on the horizon of available talented candidates off hand. Do you?
I think the Democrats will have to be willing to nominate more white males, if they decide they want to win. Not because of their race, but because that's where the talent and status still is.
But if they want to continue to go for women of color, there are a few good options, as long as the Republicans nominate a weak candidate; and they are even shorter on talent and status right now than the Democrats are.
The list of candidates and scores I have posted so far is found at
http://philosopherswheel.com/presidentialelections.html