11-22-2020, 12:24 AM
(11-19-2020, 03:33 PM)LTsmith Wrote: I'm curious to hear anyone else's thoughts on acting pre-seasonally or preparing for the end of a Crisis and beginning of a High. Thanks!
The difficulty in preparing at this point is that we don't know where this Crisis is going, we don't know what the final conflict is going to be and how it's going to turn out.
By late next year, the covid-19 pandemic will be mostly over in 1st world countries. We will have vaccinated enough of our population to have herd immunity, and social distancing will end and people will try to go back to normal. But the crisis will be nowhere close to over, and there is no predicting exactly what will come next. Some massive global war involving China and Russia is possible. A U.S. civil war is possible, some attempted fascist takeover or socialist revolution is possible.
Afterwards, it may turn out to be a really bad idea to have been vocally on the wrong side. Socialist revolutions in particular generally result in massive purges with millions killed, including anyone who opposed socialism, who might have opposed socialism, or who supported the wrong kind of socialism. A fascist takeover could result in the expulsion of large numbers of minorities of various sorts. War against China could mean it might be a bad time to be racially Chinese in the west.
Highs are culturally conservative and conformist. But we don't know what values the High will be conforming to, so it would be difficult to predict how to position yourself.
I suggest strongly protecting your anonymity online. This way any statements you're making today which might turn out to be "wrong" 10 years from now won't be traced back to you.