03-28-2021, 07:48 AM
(03-27-2021, 01:49 PM)Eric the Green Wrote: As some of us expected, indeed Trump was the Republican Carter, and the Skowroneck cycle held true. Biden succeeding Obama does indeed suggest that Obama's election was the start of something that is not yet over, and that Biden is the Democratic Reagan. But the fact that our turning is the Cold Civil War means that the division of the country IS the Crisis, and so won't be entirely solved anytime soon. Since that is the case, we can't rely on the idea that a 4T brings in a three-term administration dedicated to transformation, like FDR's. This still may not happen.
Every 4T presents a long, steep hill to climb, but this 4t brings several. For purposes of analogy, the climb is damn near vertical. Can we expect a resolution that's more than partial? I suspect not. A lot of ground work will be laid, and some issues addressed in full, but the core of an emerging modernity won't be resolved this saeculum; I'm certain of that.
Does that make what will be accomplished insignificant? Hardly. Much of what we are finally addressing has been there in primitive form since the beginning of the Industrial Age and the ACW, supported by wealth, influence and power. If we can begin to break that paradigm, we will have done our share.
Intelligence is not knowledge and knowledge is not wisdom, but they all play well together.