11-15-2021, 12:10 AM
(08-11-2019, 10:54 AM)Ghost Wrote:(08-11-2019, 09:12 AM)Anthony Wrote: No way was 2008 the start of any Crisis. Unemployment only got up to 10.2% (in October 2019) - while in November and December of 1982 it reached 10.8%.
Yet 9/11 never really changed anything: Not only didn't the Culture Wars not diffuse, they actually intensified - Lawrence v. Texas, 2003, Obergefell v. Hodges, 2015, Masterpiece Cakeshop v. Colorado Civil Rights Commission, 2018.
So what I have chosen to do is to do something unique and declare 9/11 a "half-catalyst" that moved us into a place between a 3T and 4T - where we will remain until the 2020 election, when a Super Civil War Anomaly (and a Second Civil War itself) will break out.
What do you think are the "bridge zones" between the turnings? In my opinion, they go like this:
4T to 1T: 1942-1945 (starts with Stalingrad and ends with the end of WWII)
1T to 2T: 1960-1965 (starts with the introduction of the birth control pill and ends with the start of America's involvement in Vietnam)
2T to 3T: 1978-1984 (starts with Carter's popularity slightly slipping and ends with Reagan's 1984 landslide victory)
3T to 4T: 2001-2008 (starts with 9/11 and ends with the 2008 financial crisis)
One common trend I seem to notice is that over time, bridge zones between "turning periods" keep getting bigger.
Bridge between 4T and 1T is 3 years long.
Bridge between 1T and 2T is 5 years long.
Bridge between 2T and 3T is 6 years long.
Bridge between 3T and 4T is 7 years long.
I really do not know if 2T/3T bridge is correct and if it isn't, please let me know.
Been thinking about this 'bridge' thing you mentioned. Do you think with all that has transpired since this post that we're either in a bridge between 4th & 1st turnings or just the next part of the 4th turning? Perhaps an 8-year 'bridge' opened with the pandemic that won't close until we both solve the pandemic & people adjust to whatever new way of life people will adapt afterwards. 8 years seems long enough to just be part of the turning itself rather than a connection to the next one. I wonder if us Millennials/Zoomers/Xers/etc will be holding onto our masks long after COVID-19 is no longer a big threat then the neo-Prophets a decade+ from now see us cleaning out the closet or cellar wondering why there are 50 unopened mask boxes there that we forgot about from 2020/1. I'll probably always have some around from now on.