12-28-2016, 06:20 AM
(12-22-2016, 01:40 PM)Mikebert Wrote:(12-22-2016, 08:50 AM)SomeGuy Wrote: So, nothing actually invalidating the idea of regular saeculum ending in 2025+/-5, it just doesn't fit in with your pet theories and indicators. Got it.
An end around 2025 isn't very far off. One around 2035 is...
What is supposed to happen in a 4T just isn't happening. It should not be this hard to see it. Yes I can re-draw the Silent, Boomers, Xers, and Millies to have them born later. And then yep you can get a 4T that ends in 2030 or 2035. But if you do that you will find that Donald Trump, Bill and Hillary Clinton and George Bush are Silents after all. But this sort of destroys the notion that generations are an independent entity, that one knows what generation he falls into.
4Ts only guarantee conflict, not resolution. Do you think that the political environment can be any more oppositional without chaos erupting? We may have achieved a balance of terror this time, with neither side able to move forward, and the risk of breaking the china just to make changes is simply too great in this nuclear age.
Internal struggles pit friends, neighbors and family members against each other. We may be unable to take that step this time. It may take an external event, like the impending doom of climate change, to trigger real change, and we're not there yet.
Intelligence is not knowledge and knowledge is not wisdom, but they all play well together.