09-07-2016, 09:53 PM
(08-30-2016, 08:53 PM)X_4AD_84 Wrote: History does not repeat but it rhymes.
Looking out at the geopolitical situation, we seem to be rhyming with the Great Power Saec 4T.
Let us examine without emotion what the next Great War will bring us.
Thermonuclear war will not be the sole means, but it will dominate the experience. Here's the earlier fission version:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/b07pzdpt...des/player
Rebroadcast 70 years after the initial series. Available at the BBC site for another 23 days from the date of this post.
Who do you think will be firing the weapons? The U.S.? Russia? China? India and Pakistan? Iran and Saudi Arabia?
Among those, India and Pakistan are the ones that both have high fertility rates, and thus growing need for resources that may become scarce, a traditional reason for war. Certainly that was the nominal reason for Germany in the Great Power cycle.
I'm having difficulty envisioning either India or Pakistan uniting enough to pursue a truly expansionist policy, though.
