"Climax" year of each turning

[Bob Butler 54]

(05-20-2020, 02:38 AM)pbrower2a Wrote: Let's put it this way: the American Revolution and the Constitutional struggle (Crisis of 1780) decided whether the colonies from Maine to Georgia would be free and that there would be a meaningful United States of America. 

The Civil War (Crisis of 1860) decided whether slavery would thrive or perish.

The Great Depression and World War II (Crisis of 1940) decided whether the US would be a Great Power or a shattered wreck under a totalitarian nightmare (fascist or Stalinist).

Yep.  The pattern in America is that for three plus turnings the slavery compromises favor a lack of change, but you more than make up for it with a major upheaval in the heart of a crisis.  It is just a bad time to be tied to the establishment. You might move from being a major mover and shaker to immigrating to Canada. If cotton used to be king, it is suddenly a lonely stepchild.  We'll lock down the changed society in its new condition come the high.

I still worry that we are not likely to see a trigger in every crisis.  As once in a while you have to reset the culture, what happens in a crisis period where there is no trigger is a problem.  

Not the problem this time around the turnings though.