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A Liz Cheney-Justin Amash Ticket in 2024 |
Posted by: Anthony '58 - 03-30-2022, 11:26 AM - Forum: General Discussion
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How well would it do?
Amash has already bolted from the Republicans, and Ms. Cheney will almost certainly follow suit after she gets trounced in the Republican primary for her House seat in Wyoming.
This would rather obviously be the Libertarian ticket.
And if the American Solidarity Party goes big with, say, Doug Jones for President and Joe Sestak for Vice President, there's your four-way screaming match, a la 1860.
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Could Ukraine Turn Out Like Bosnia? |
Posted by: Anthony '58 - 03-30-2022, 09:58 AM - Forum: General Discussion
- Replies (2)
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The outcome of the war in Bosnia was its division into two federal states - a Croat-Muslim Federation, and the Republika Srpska (whose number one export appears to be postage stamps).
What is the possibility of essentially the same outcome in Ukraine? A Ukrainian Federation, encompassing most of the country's territory, and a Russian Autonomous Oblast, consisting of Crimea, Donbas, Luhansk, and Kharkiv?
After all, the origin of both wars is the same: A Communist tyrant - Tito in Yugoslavia's case, Khrushchev in the Soviet Union's - arbitrarily redrawing the internal borders of both countries, marooning millions of people in the "wrong" republic.
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2005 is the correct start date for Genz (new baby bust) |
Posted by: Gggecko - 03-21-2022, 12:08 PM - Forum: Homeland Generation/New Adaptive Generation
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I think strauss and howe were spot on with their millenial range for 1982-2004
There are many others threads on this topic, but a little outdated. Some time is passed and I think there is a clear picture on the generation z start date. In the mid-late 2000s just right before the great recession, the birth rate started to sharply plummet, and it has kept dropping ever since. The economy never fully recovered, plus the covid and other problems (like inflation, house pricing) has kept it at a historic low. This also mirrors the trends in previous generations (the silent generation birth rate drops massively in the late 1920s, and gen x birth rate drops in the early 1960s). Just from looking at the graph, it look clear that the millenial generation is the 'echo boomers' from the early 80s to the 2000s, and genz is the next bust
![[Image: figure1totalfertilitynew-w640.png]](https://ifstudies.org/ifs-admin/resources/figure1totalfertilitynew-w640.png)
![[Image: us-fertility-figure1.gif]](https://www.prb.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/07/us-fertility-figure1.gif)
![[Image: 21534820-7731317-image-m-16_1574865322455.jpg]](https://i.dailymail.co.uk/1s/2019/11/27/14/21534820-7731317-image-m-16_1574865322455.jpg)
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/artic...ports.html
I know people debate this topic over things like qualities and traits but it's always filled with anecdotes, I thought the birth rates were an interesting twist. It shows a clean, objective trend
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The Exercise Effect |
Posted by: beechnut79 - 03-21-2022, 10:17 AM - Forum: General Discussion
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Usually there is no discussion of this subject here, yet it is very important to personal health. Which does in fact make it ironic in that we at least give lip service to wanting to promote healthier lifestyles. I try to practice this by on good weather days trekking fourteen blocks from where I live to come to the local library where I am writing this. I for one was surprise to learn that more people die at an early age from too little exercise rather than too much. Suburbanites are especially vulnerable to a lack of exercise syndrome due to the fact that you have to drive to get nearly anywhere. I am a suburbanite but do live in an area where there are a few sidewalks available. For many of them the solution seems to be to pay outrageous fees to join a health and fitness center, which I personally considered to be the same waste of money that having cocktails with dinner is. Good Lord, some of the cocktails cost as much as the meal. I cannot even recall the last time I actually had a cocktail with dinner. Must have been 20+ years.
Link to article is here. Posted for discussion purposes only.
https://www.apa.org/monitor/2011/12/exercise
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The Upscaling of America |
Posted by: beechnut79 - 03-20-2022, 02:52 PM - Forum: General Discussion
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The past four decades, possibly even five, have been a time of increasing inequality. Few issues pack the emotional punch more than does urban gentrification. The pluses include revival of once God-forsaken neighborhoods within our cities. This leads to lower crime rates and better safety. But the big minuses are lead by the forced displacement of long-time residents who can no longer afford to stay in their homes. Emotions often get the best of those especially on the losing side of the gentrification equation.
Such is part and parcel of a vast upscaling trend which began in earnest with the arrival of the Yuppies during the middle third of the 1980s. And even though by 1987 it became just as fashionable to bash Yuppies as it had been to be one, the damage had pretty well be done as gentrification on their behalf had transformed many urban neighborhoods to be unrecognizable by those who hadn't been in or to them for some time. By most liberal estimates those who fit the Yuppie demographic of the time amounted to no more than 7 percent of the population. Wannabes may have increased the total to around 20 percent, yet the craze was so vast that anywhere from 80 to 93 percent were basically treated as outcasts.
Boomers who during their youth were very vocal in denouncing the trapping of wealth and privilege suddenly took such to a whole other level. IOW a significant number ending up becoming everything they had previously ridiculed and then some. And even though the Yuppie craze only lasted about a third of a decade the trend toward upscaling of damn near everything has continued as many more areas have gentrified more in recent years. In Chicago I would say that now at least 20 percent of the city has been retrofitted as to displace not only people but the more modest restaurants and shops that were there previously. Harsh words have been spoken about the negative effects of such retrofitting and yet the march toward more and more seems to continue. There still are some areas of the city where there is gang warfare and are relatively impoverished, but most of these areas though aren't quite as God-forsaken as they once were. The south suburbs of Harvey and Chicago Heights have much more dilapidation than these areas do. Said to be starving for investment but the poor residents remain fearful that if even a Starbucks were to open up shop, gentrification and displacement won't be far behind.
Why has the upscaling trend continued despite the fact of over 60 percent of the populace living paycheck to paycheck?
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"Anti-Nationalist Civics"....What? |
Posted by: JasonBlack - 03-17-2022, 09:41 PM - Forum: The Millennial Generation
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Millennials are simultaneously a generation of Civic duty (I do think this has proved true as predicted) and a generation of anti-nationalists. They occupy a generational archetype which is supposed to pull people together, but while they are a generation of conventionalism and conformity, they do so with a fixation on what makes us different rather than what makes us the same. I get that there is a time and place to pull in the struggling stragglers and helping them bandage their wounds, but millennials are doing so at the expense of forming any kind of cohesive whole which makes us stronger.
Many individual millennials are quite strong and competent. I'd even argue we're a fairly industrious and conscientious generation overall, and these are all good things, but what's strange to me is....they don't seem to actually be proud of any of this, viewing it instead as some necessary evil from which they can afford to abstain once times get better, not realizing it was the lack thereof which tends to lead to periods of crisis to begin with. imo, they've internalized too much of the internal, spiritual and "awareness" elements celebrated from the 2T (a time in which they were much more necessary). At present, it's turned into a kind of insular delusion where people are in poverty, living in terrible health, have few friends, experience a low collective self-image and are further socially isolated by oppressive lockdowns, and then turn around like "why is my mental health so bad?", as if they are going to find the answer by meditating, reading moral/spiritual texts or exploring their emotions. There are times where everyone needs to do this at least a little bit, and being a trained classical singer, personality theory enthusiast and amateur historian, I have done and enjoyed plenty. At the moment though? Seeking out more of this is simply out of balance, more of the same. As Einstein put it: "Insanity is trying the same thing over and over and expecting a different result". If you can't find the answer looking to the internal world, look to the outer world.
To get out of this, we need to start taking pride in these reluctant virtues we've developed, push them forward to build great works which we and others can admire, restore some sense of "we're doing something right! let's keep going!". No one is asking to return to the days where people simply casually ignored the vices of our history and present circumstances, least of all my cynical ass, but...are we seriously content with this flaccid self-image we've developed? Are we content to simply lay down and curl up in a corner like an elderly lion past his prime?
I'm not asking for cheap, chauvinistic boasting, racial superiority theories, fascistic top-down control or emotional repression (I'm actually asking for more of certain types of emotions). I'm stating the common sense truth that we can't make things better for our country if we don't give a shit about the concept of our country or the people in it in the first place.
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