Some charts. Trump supporters -- see them and weep. The economic, diplomatic, and military consequences will be here soon enough. We have a little more than a year and a half before we see the electoral consequences in the 2018 elections.
![[Image: overall-approval-trend.png]](https://blogelectiontrackingsurveymonkey.files.wordpress.com/2017/03/overall-approval-trend.png)
It keeps getting worse.
![[Image: strong-approval-trend.png]](https://blogelectiontrackingsurveymonkey.files.wordpress.com/2017/03/strong-approval-trend.png)
I doubt that many people will vote for him in 2020 if they strongly disapprove of him unless the Democrats nominate someone utterly abominable. But should Donald Trump lose basically the whole of those who "strongly disapprove" and half those who "somewhat disapprove", then he loses big.
![[Image: approval-by-party.png]](https://blogelectiontrackingsurveymonkey.files.wordpress.com/2017/03/approval-by-party.png)
The few people who are not highly partisan will be the swing voters of 2018 and 2020 -- and they do not like Donald Trump.
![[Image: approval-by-race.png]](https://blogelectiontrackingsurveymonkey.files.wordpress.com/2017/03/approval-by-race.png)
Figuring that Hispanics have the most to lose from a rushed campaign to deport illegal aliens... that is where the largest amount of support has eviscerated. But on the whole, approval by white people of his performance as President is already close to the 50-50 range, With only 50% of the white vote in 2020 he would lose in a landslide much like Carter in 1980 or Hoover in 1932.
It keeps getting worse.
I doubt that many people will vote for him in 2020 if they strongly disapprove of him unless the Democrats nominate someone utterly abominable. But should Donald Trump lose basically the whole of those who "strongly disapprove" and half those who "somewhat disapprove", then he loses big.
The few people who are not highly partisan will be the swing voters of 2018 and 2020 -- and they do not like Donald Trump.
Figuring that Hispanics have the most to lose from a rushed campaign to deport illegal aliens... that is where the largest amount of support has eviscerated. But on the whole, approval by white people of his performance as President is already close to the 50-50 range, With only 50% of the white vote in 2020 he would lose in a landslide much like Carter in 1980 or Hoover in 1932.
The ideal subject of totalitarian rule is not the convinced Nazi or the dedicated Communist but instead the people for whom the distinction between fact and fiction, true and false, no longer exists -- Hannah Arendt.