04-10-2017, 10:25 PM
*** 11-Apr-17 World View -- India forced to delay Kashmir elections after large surge in violence
This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
****
**** India forced to delay Kashmir elections after large surge in violence
****
![[Image: g170410b.jpg]](http://Media.GenerationalDynamics.com/ww2010/g170410b.jpg)
A burned out bus following an attack by separatists on Sunday (PTI)
India has been forced to delay a second round of elections in Kashmir,
scheduled for Wednesday, after the first round of elections in Sunday
sparked a large surge on Sunday by separatists.
The large surge in violence left eight people dead and injured more
than 100. Two middle schools, designated as polling stations, were
burnt down on Sunday night.
Separatists had called for a boycott of the election, and in the city
Srinagar were using barbed wire and burnt tires to block the roads, to
prevent voters from reaching the polling stations. Hundreds of youth
threw stones and petrol bombs at security forces, who wore helmets
and carried batons to subdue the protesters. However, the security
forces were forced to withdraw, after the boycott was almost total.
Government sources counted nearly 200 separate incidents of violence.
Although there have been periods of violence in Indian-controlled
Kashmir in the past, the new round of violence is significantly
different according to several measures:
The low voter turnout is particularly significant. In previous
elections, even when there was some violence, voter turnout was
25-40%, and that was considered to be a sign that, despite the
separatist protests, most people supported the government. The low
voter turnout is a major change that is being blamed on the Election
Commission (EC), which finally was forced to reschedule the second
round of elections from Wednesday to May 25, handing a victory to the
separatists.
As I wrote in my detailed analysis
earlier in the month, from the point of view of Generational Dynamics,
Kashmir is replaying previous generations of violence according to a
fairly standard template.
India's previous two generational crisis wars were India's 1857
Rebellion, which pitted Hindu nationalists against British colonists,
and the 1947 Partition War, one of the bloodiest wars of the 20th
century, pitting Hindus versus Muslims, following the partitioning of
the Indian subcontinent into India and Pakistan.
The survivors of a generational crisis war are so traumatized that
they spend their lives doing everything possible to keep it from
happening again. However, younger generations growing up after the
war have no such concerns, and when the generations of survivors
retire and die, then a new generational crisis war emerges among the
younger generations.
The surging violence in Kashmir is extremely dangerous, and spread and
spiral into something much larger during the hot summer. BBC and New Delhi TV and First Post and India Times
Related Articles
****
**** Hindu activists push for ban on cow slaughter across India
****
It's an old saying that Hindus and Muslims can't live together because
Muslims can't stand pigs and Hindus can't eat cows. These
differences, which seem so odd to the Western mind, raise such
powerful emotions in both Muslims and Hindus that they played an
important role in both of the previous generational crisis wars, the
1857 Rebellion and the 1947 Partition War.
Now there's a new demand by Hindu nationalists to ban cow slaughter
across the country. Cow vigilantism has frequently triggered violence
between Hindus and Muslims in India, especially when Muslims kill cows
for meat, and preventing Muslims from eating beef appears to a major
part of the motivation for the proposed ban on cow slaughter.
However, opponents of the ban say that a ban on cow slaughter would be
bad for the cow, and that the end result is that cows would no longer
exist except in zoos. For that reason, opponents are demanding that
if the proposed ban is passed, then the government must budget money
to give to dairy farmers to protect the cow, and must provide an
adoption scheme for cattle that are past productive age or male.
First Post and Indian Express
Related Articles
****
**** Why is a US carrier group strike force going to the Korean peninsula?
****
In yesterday's article,
I
described that the USS Carl Vinson aircraft carrier strike force left
Singapore and headed for the Korean peninsula, possibly for some
confrontation with North Korea, and I wondered what the objective was.
In particular, I wondered how long the strike force was going to
remain there.
A couple of readers have provided me with possible explanations. One
readers said that the Carl Vinson would have to remain only until the
Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) system could be fully
deployed in South Korea:
> [indent]<QUOTE>"But they're waiting for the next test launch of a
> potentially nuclear tipped missile by the North Korean's insane
> dictator. Then they'll shoot it out of the sky. A little target
> practice, shall we say. As they might say in Texas -- "pull!"
>
> See, the THAAD is just starting to be installed in South Korea,
> and obviously that takes some time, so it's not ready yet. ...
>
> [The carrier strike force is] equipped with the Aegis variant of
> functionality quite similar to THAAD - just sea based. I know a
> bit about this, since I used to work for the Navy supplier FMC
> (now BAE Systems), who makes the Rail Gun and the 5-inch/54
> caliber (Mk 45) lightweight gun.
>
> And it's a legitimate move to shoot down any such North Korean
> missile, even if it's just a test. How do we know whether or not
> it's just a test? Are we supposed to give it 10 minutes and see
> whether it's trajectory is aimed at LA? Better shoot it down, just
> in case. ... The carrier group serves as an interim THAAD until
> the full THAAD is installed and working. That will allow the
> Seoulians to sleep better at night (you said yourself that they're
> getting a bit nervous)."<END QUOTE>[/indent]
Another reader pointed out that the birthday of the grandfather of the
current leader is fast approaching, and the leader might be planning a
major provocation on that date:
> [indent]<QUOTE>"15 April is Kim Il-Sung's birthday, and is a holiday
> in NK called "Day of the Sun" ("Il-Sung" in Korean means "become
> the Sun.") The North Koreans have a history of staging
> provocations (missile and nuclear tests) so it's likely the Vinson
> battle group will be on hand just in case Kim Jong-Un gets
> stroppy."<END QUOTE>[/indent]
Related Articles
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, India, Kashmir, Srinagar,
Muslims, Hindus, cow vigilantism,
North Korea, Carl Vinson aircraft carrier strike force,
South Korea, Terminal High Altitude Area Defense, THAAD,
Kim Il-sung
Permanent web link to this article
Receive daily World View columns by e-mail
Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal
John J. Xenakis
100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A
Cambridge, MA 02142
Phone: 617-864-0010
E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com
Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com
Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum
Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe
This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
- India forced to delay Kashmir elections after large surge in violence
- Hindu activists push for ban on cow slaughter across India
- Why is a US carrier group strike force going to the Korean peninsula?
****
**** India forced to delay Kashmir elections after large surge in violence
****
A burned out bus following an attack by separatists on Sunday (PTI)
India has been forced to delay a second round of elections in Kashmir,
scheduled for Wednesday, after the first round of elections in Sunday
sparked a large surge on Sunday by separatists.
The large surge in violence left eight people dead and injured more
than 100. Two middle schools, designated as polling stations, were
burnt down on Sunday night.
Separatists had called for a boycott of the election, and in the city
Srinagar were using barbed wire and burnt tires to block the roads, to
prevent voters from reaching the polling stations. Hundreds of youth
threw stones and petrol bombs at security forces, who wore helmets
and carried batons to subdue the protesters. However, the security
forces were forced to withdraw, after the boycott was almost total.
Government sources counted nearly 200 separate incidents of violence.
Although there have been periods of violence in Indian-controlled
Kashmir in the past, the new round of violence is significantly
different according to several measures:
- The level of violence is greater.
- The violence has spread from the cities to the rural areas.
- Voter turnout of 7% is the lowest in Srinagar in three
decades.
The low voter turnout is particularly significant. In previous
elections, even when there was some violence, voter turnout was
25-40%, and that was considered to be a sign that, despite the
separatist protests, most people supported the government. The low
voter turnout is a major change that is being blamed on the Election
Commission (EC), which finally was forced to reschedule the second
round of elections from Wednesday to May 25, handing a victory to the
separatists.
As I wrote in my detailed analysis
earlier in the month, from the point of view of Generational Dynamics,
Kashmir is replaying previous generations of violence according to a
fairly standard template.
India's previous two generational crisis wars were India's 1857
Rebellion, which pitted Hindu nationalists against British colonists,
and the 1947 Partition War, one of the bloodiest wars of the 20th
century, pitting Hindus versus Muslims, following the partitioning of
the Indian subcontinent into India and Pakistan.
The survivors of a generational crisis war are so traumatized that
they spend their lives doing everything possible to keep it from
happening again. However, younger generations growing up after the
war have no such concerns, and when the generations of survivors
retire and die, then a new generational crisis war emerges among the
younger generations.
The surging violence in Kashmir is extremely dangerous, and spread and
spiral into something much larger during the hot summer. BBC and New Delhi TV and First Post and India Times
Related Articles
- India-Pakistan clash threatened as Kashmir violence surges again (01-Apr-2017)
- Police clashes in India-governed Kashmir kill 36 and leaves thousands injured (14-Jul-2016)
****
**** Hindu activists push for ban on cow slaughter across India
****
It's an old saying that Hindus and Muslims can't live together because
Muslims can't stand pigs and Hindus can't eat cows. These
differences, which seem so odd to the Western mind, raise such
powerful emotions in both Muslims and Hindus that they played an
important role in both of the previous generational crisis wars, the
1857 Rebellion and the 1947 Partition War.
Now there's a new demand by Hindu nationalists to ban cow slaughter
across the country. Cow vigilantism has frequently triggered violence
between Hindus and Muslims in India, especially when Muslims kill cows
for meat, and preventing Muslims from eating beef appears to a major
part of the motivation for the proposed ban on cow slaughter.
However, opponents of the ban say that a ban on cow slaughter would be
bad for the cow, and that the end result is that cows would no longer
exist except in zoos. For that reason, opponents are demanding that
if the proposed ban is passed, then the government must budget money
to give to dairy farmers to protect the cow, and must provide an
adoption scheme for cattle that are past productive age or male.
First Post and Indian Express
Related Articles
****
**** Why is a US carrier group strike force going to the Korean peninsula?
****
In yesterday's article,
I
described that the USS Carl Vinson aircraft carrier strike force left
Singapore and headed for the Korean peninsula, possibly for some
confrontation with North Korea, and I wondered what the objective was.
In particular, I wondered how long the strike force was going to
remain there.
A couple of readers have provided me with possible explanations. One
readers said that the Carl Vinson would have to remain only until the
Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) system could be fully
deployed in South Korea:
> [indent]<QUOTE>"But they're waiting for the next test launch of a
> potentially nuclear tipped missile by the North Korean's insane
> dictator. Then they'll shoot it out of the sky. A little target
> practice, shall we say. As they might say in Texas -- "pull!"
>
> See, the THAAD is just starting to be installed in South Korea,
> and obviously that takes some time, so it's not ready yet. ...
>
> [The carrier strike force is] equipped with the Aegis variant of
> functionality quite similar to THAAD - just sea based. I know a
> bit about this, since I used to work for the Navy supplier FMC
> (now BAE Systems), who makes the Rail Gun and the 5-inch/54
> caliber (Mk 45) lightweight gun.
>
> And it's a legitimate move to shoot down any such North Korean
> missile, even if it's just a test. How do we know whether or not
> it's just a test? Are we supposed to give it 10 minutes and see
> whether it's trajectory is aimed at LA? Better shoot it down, just
> in case. ... The carrier group serves as an interim THAAD until
> the full THAAD is installed and working. That will allow the
> Seoulians to sleep better at night (you said yourself that they're
> getting a bit nervous)."<END QUOTE>[/indent]
Another reader pointed out that the birthday of the grandfather of the
current leader is fast approaching, and the leader might be planning a
major provocation on that date:
> [indent]<QUOTE>"15 April is Kim Il-Sung's birthday, and is a holiday
> in NK called "Day of the Sun" ("Il-Sung" in Korean means "become
> the Sun.") The North Koreans have a history of staging
> provocations (missile and nuclear tests) so it's likely the Vinson
> battle group will be on hand just in case Kim Jong-Un gets
> stroppy."<END QUOTE>[/indent]
Related Articles
- US aircraft carrier strike force heads for Korean peninsula (10-Apr-2017)
- North Korea threatens new artillery strikes on Yeonpyeong Island (18-Dec-2010)
- North Korea denies sinking South Korean warship Cheonan (18-Apr-2010)
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, India, Kashmir, Srinagar,
Muslims, Hindus, cow vigilantism,
North Korea, Carl Vinson aircraft carrier strike force,
South Korea, Terminal High Altitude Area Defense, THAAD,
Kim Il-sung
Permanent web link to this article
Receive daily World View columns by e-mail
Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal
John J. Xenakis
100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A
Cambridge, MA 02142
Phone: 617-864-0010
E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com
Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com
Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum
Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe
