07-23-2017, 01:20 PM
Huge shift in what should be one of the President's best states:
Arkansas - Talk Business & Politics-Hendrix College poll of Trump approval:
Approve - 50%
Disapprove - 47%
http://katv.com/news/local/president-tru...nsas-50-47
...I don't know whether the self-pardon talk is relevant to this poll. I would expect that stuff to cut President Trump down more where his approval ratings were strongest and less damage (how could this hurt him more in... New York or even Michigan, where his approvals are already in the toilet?)
It's unfortunate that we do not have polls of such states as Georgia, Indiana, Missouri, or Ohio against which to see how this self-pardon talk looks.
The letter F shall signify a favorability poll, as the only polls that I have for Arizona, Massachusetts and Oklahoma
![[Image: genusmap.php?year=2012&ev_c=1&pv_p=1&ev_...NE3=0;99;6]](http://uselectionatlas.org/TOOLS/genusmap.php?year=2012&ev_c=1&pv_p=1&ev_p=1&type=calc&AL=0;;6&AK=1;;3&AZ=1;F;7&AR=2;;5&CA=1;;9&CO=1;;5&CT=0;;5&DE=0;;5&DC=0;;9&FL=1;;3&GA=0;;5&HI=1;;9&ID=0;;6&IL=0;;5&IN=0;;5&IA=1;;5&KS=0;;5&KY=0;;6&LA=0;;5&MD=1;;9&MA=1;F;9&MI=1;;9&MN=1;;5&MS=0;;5&MO=0;;5&MT=2;;5&NV=1;;3&NH=1;;9&NJ=1;;9&NM=0;;4&NY=1;;9&NC=1;;3&ND=0;;5&OH=0;;5&OK=2;F;9&OR=0;;5&PA=1;;7&RI=0;;6&SC=1;;4&SD=0;;5&TN=2;;7&TX=1;;5&UT=1;;3&VT=0;;6&VA=1;;5&WA=1;;5&WV=2;;7&WI=1;;5&WY=0;;6&ME=0;;5&ME1=0;X;9&ME2=0;X;9&NE=0;;5&NE1=0;X;9&NE2=0;X;9&NE3=0;99;6)
Blue, positive and 40-43% 20% saturation
............................ 44-47% 40%
............................ 48-50% 50%
............................ 51-55% 70%
............................ 56%+ 90%
Red, negative and 48-50% 20% (raw approval or favorability)
.......................... 44-47% 30%
.......................... 40-43% 50%
.......................... 35-39% 70%
.......................under 35% 90%
White - tie.
More telling may be disapproval ratings. Some of these are favorability ratings, which will get an asterisk.
Disapproval ratings:
Map for this theme:
![[Image: genusmap.php?year=2012&ev_c=1&pv_p=1&ev_...NE3=0;99;6]](http://uselectionatlas.org/TOOLS/genusmap.php?year=2012&ev_c=1&pv_p=1&ev_p=1&type=calc&AL=0;;6&AK=4;48;1&AZ=4;49*;1&AR=2;47;3&CA=1;57;5&CO=1;56;5&CT=0;;5&DE=0;;5&DC=0;;9&FL=1;53;3&GA=0;;5&HI=1;59;5&ID=0;;6&IL=0;;5&IN=0;;5&IA=1;52;3&KS=0;;5&KY=0;;6&LA=0;;5&MD=1;64;7&MA=1;60+;7&MI=1;61;7&MN=1;51;3&MS=0;;5&MO=0;;5&MT=2;42;5&NV=1;50;3&NH=1;60;7&NJ=1;66;7&NM=0;;4&NY=1;67;7&NC=1;50;3&ND=0;;5&OH=0;;5&OK=2;36*;7&OR=0;;5&PA=1;62;7&RI=0;;6&SC=2;47;3&SD=0;;5&TN=2;42;5&TX=1;51;3&UT=1;55;5&VT=0;;6&VA=1;57;5&WA=1;56;5&WV=2;36;7&WI=1;51;3&WY=0;;6&ME=0;;5&ME1=0;X;9&ME2=0;X;9&NE=0;;5&NE1=0;X;9&NE2=0;X;9&NE3=0;99;6)
navy under 40
blue 40-43
light blue 44-47
white 48 or 49
pink 50-54
red 55-59
maroon 60 or higher
* favorability
Colors chosen for partisan affiliation
Arkansas - Talk Business & Politics-Hendrix College poll of Trump approval:
Approve - 50%
Disapprove - 47%
Quote:In the now-reliably red state of Arkansas, President Donald Trump’s job approval rating is taking a hit.
According to the latest Talk Business & Politics-Hendrix College survey, the nation’s chief executive has gone from a 60%-35% job approval-disapproval rating in February to just 50-47% in July. In April, Trump had a 53%-39% approval rating.
http://katv.com/news/local/president-tru...nsas-50-47
...I don't know whether the self-pardon talk is relevant to this poll. I would expect that stuff to cut President Trump down more where his approval ratings were strongest and less damage (how could this hurt him more in... New York or even Michigan, where his approvals are already in the toilet?)
It's unfortunate that we do not have polls of such states as Georgia, Indiana, Missouri, or Ohio against which to see how this self-pardon talk looks.
The letter F shall signify a favorability poll, as the only polls that I have for Arizona, Massachusetts and Oklahoma
Blue, positive and 40-43% 20% saturation
............................ 44-47% 40%
............................ 48-50% 50%
............................ 51-55% 70%
............................ 56%+ 90%
Red, negative and 48-50% 20% (raw approval or favorability)
.......................... 44-47% 30%
.......................... 40-43% 50%
.......................... 35-39% 70%
.......................under 35% 90%
White - tie.
More telling may be disapproval ratings. Some of these are favorability ratings, which will get an asterisk.
Disapproval ratings:
Map for this theme:
navy under 40
blue 40-43
light blue 44-47
white 48 or 49
pink 50-54
red 55-59
maroon 60 or higher
* favorability
Colors chosen for partisan affiliation
The ideal subject of totalitarian rule is not the convinced Nazi or the dedicated Communist but instead the people for whom the distinction between fact and fiction, true and false, no longer exists -- Hannah Arendt.