07-25-2017, 10:55 PM
*** 26-Jul-17 World View -- China escalates its military threats over its border dispute with India at Doklam Plateau
This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
****
**** China escalates its military threats over its border dispute with India at Doklam Plateau
****
![[Image: g170725b.jpg]](http://Media.GenerationalDynamics.com/ww2010/g170725b.jpg)
A military post on China - India border (India Today)
The border dispute involving China, India and Bhutan over the Doklam
Plateau is becoming increasingly dangerous. China is saying that it's
running out of patience, and China's state-run media is escalating the
military threats to India over the Doklam issue, to the point of
threatening war.
We've been reporting
a standoff
between India's army and China's army on Doklam plateau in the tiny
country of Bhutan. China is attempting to annex the region, and on
June 16 sent Chinese troops and construction workers to begin road
construction. Bhutan troops tried to prevent the Chinese troop
incursion, but they were overrun. India sent in its own troops,
saying that it did so when Bhutan invoked a treaty with India and
asked for help. The result is a standoff, though no bullets have been
fired yet.
An editorial in China's state-run Global Times began:
> [indent]<QUOTE>"The public's patience is running short with India's
> Doklam transgression. Nothing can stand in the way of China's and
> Chinese people's dignity. No government in the world can stand
> still doing nothing while its borders are being
> violated."<END QUOTE>[/indent]
Right away we run into a problem, because China is violating borders
and international law in the South China Sea, creating illegal
artificial islands and turning them into huge military bases, and
constantly lying about what they're doing. China was proven to be an
international criminal by the 2016 ruling of the United Nations
Permanent Court of Arbitration (PCA) in the Hague. That ruling
completely eviscerated China's so-called 'Nine-Dash Line' claims to
the South China Sea.
Because China has repeatedly lied about the South China Sea, it's
impossible to believe anything they say about anything else.
("Falsus in unum, falsus in omnibus.")
Still, the above statement is extremely dangerous because it refers to
"the public's patience," invoking nationalism and xenophobia by the
Chinese people, and seeking to incite it. The editorial
continues:
> [indent]<QUOTE>"As India continues down this intransigent path,
> perhaps it is time that it be taught a second lesson. Their troops
> in Doklam could either withdraw voluntarily, be captured or may be
> killed when border disputes escalate, [according to] Liu Youfa,
> China's former consul general in Mumbai."<END QUOTE>[/indent]
This is pretty much a direct threat of war.
The phrase "second lesson" alludes to the 1962 Sino-Indian war, a
brief but bloody war between the two countries over the Indian state
of Arunachal Pradesh in the eastern Himalayas. China is viewed as
having won that war.
India's defense minister Arun Jaitley was recently asked about the
1962 war, and he responded: "If they are trying to remind us, the
situation in 1962 was different and India of 2017 is different."
The editorial also threatens a Chinese invasion of India-controlled
Kashmir:
> [indent]<QUOTE>"No matter what vassalage relationship India maintains
> with Bhutan, it baffles this author that India has the courage to
> transgress another country on its behalf. And in this case, Indian
> troops even entered into Doklam from the China-Sikkim
> border. Well, if this kind of logic holds, a third country can
> certainly enter into Kashmir, including India-controlled Kashmir,
> upon Pakistan's invitation. (This is not a far-fetched
> idea.)"<END QUOTE>[/indent]
On Tuesday, China's Foreign Ministry issued a statement:
> [indent]<QUOTE>"On July 24, 2017 local time, when giving an interview
> to the press in Bangkok on China-India standoff incident, Foreign
> Minister Wang Yi noted that it is very clear who is right and who
> is wrong regarding this issue, and that even Indian senior
> officials have publicly said that Chinese troops have not intruded
> into Indian territory, which means that India admitted that it has
> entered into Chinese territory. The solution to this issue is
> simple, which is that the Indian troops back out
> honestly."<END QUOTE>[/indent]
This statement is weasel-worded, in that Doklam Plateau is Bhutan's
territory, not India's territory. If China is so sure of its claim,
perhaps it should ask the United Nations Permanent Court of
Arbitration (PCA) to decide the matter.
So China is demanding that India withdraw its troops, and permit the
Chinese army to annex Bhutan's Doklam Plateau unopposed. China says
that it is running out of patience, and threatens to invade before
long. Global Times (Beijing) and China's Foreign Ministry
****
**** India says that it will remain 'firm and resolute' but 'reasonable'
****
India is responding to China's threats by saying that it will remain
"firm and resolute" militarily, according to Indian media, and will
thwart any attempt by China to “bully” Bhutan, while being
“reasonable” at the politico-diplomatic level to resolve the ongoing
troop stand-off with the People’s Liberation Army in the Doklam area
in Bhutanese territory.
According to India's Army vice-chief Lt-General Sarath Chand on
Tuesday"
> [indent]<QUOTE>"On the North, we have China which has a large
> landmass, huge resources and a large standing Army ... Despite
> having the Himalayas between us, China is bound to be a threat for
> us in years ahead."<END QUOTE>[/indent]
Indian media says that it is reinforcing its military in the region:
> [indent]<QUOTE>"Much like the Line of Control with Pakistan, Indian
> soldiers are prepared for the long haul near the tri-junction with
> China as well. Apart from the already present 63 and 112 Brigades
> (over 3,000 troops each) in east and north-east Sikkim, the Army
> has moved up another 2,500 soldiers from the 164 Brigade to Zuluk
> and Nathang Valley in the state to further reinforce its military
> stance, as was first reported by TOIon July 11."<END QUOTE>[/indent]
Both China and India are hardening their positions, both with words
and with military reinforcements. The Chinese media are making it
clear that if India does not withdraw soon, then China will invade.
China believes that it will easily win, and India believes that "this
time it's different." The situation is extremely dangerous, and could
lead to war very quickly, either intentionally or through
miscalculation. Times of India
Related Articles
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, China, India, Bhutan, Doklam Plateau,
Arun Jaitley, 1962 Sino-Indian war, Lia Youfa,
United Nations Permanent Court of Arbitration, PCA,
Nine-dash line
Permanent web link to this article
Receive daily World View columns by e-mail
Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal
John J. Xenakis
100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A
Cambridge, MA 02142
Phone: 617-864-0010
E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com
Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com
Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum
Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe
This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
- China escalates its military threats over its border dispute with India at Doklam Plateau
- India says that it will remain 'firm and resolute' but 'reasonable'
****
**** China escalates its military threats over its border dispute with India at Doklam Plateau
****
A military post on China - India border (India Today)
The border dispute involving China, India and Bhutan over the Doklam
Plateau is becoming increasingly dangerous. China is saying that it's
running out of patience, and China's state-run media is escalating the
military threats to India over the Doklam issue, to the point of
threatening war.
We've been reporting
a standoff
between India's army and China's army on Doklam plateau in the tiny
country of Bhutan. China is attempting to annex the region, and on
June 16 sent Chinese troops and construction workers to begin road
construction. Bhutan troops tried to prevent the Chinese troop
incursion, but they were overrun. India sent in its own troops,
saying that it did so when Bhutan invoked a treaty with India and
asked for help. The result is a standoff, though no bullets have been
fired yet.
An editorial in China's state-run Global Times began:
> [indent]<QUOTE>"The public's patience is running short with India's
> Doklam transgression. Nothing can stand in the way of China's and
> Chinese people's dignity. No government in the world can stand
> still doing nothing while its borders are being
> violated."<END QUOTE>[/indent]
Right away we run into a problem, because China is violating borders
and international law in the South China Sea, creating illegal
artificial islands and turning them into huge military bases, and
constantly lying about what they're doing. China was proven to be an
international criminal by the 2016 ruling of the United Nations
Permanent Court of Arbitration (PCA) in the Hague. That ruling
completely eviscerated China's so-called 'Nine-Dash Line' claims to
the South China Sea.
Because China has repeatedly lied about the South China Sea, it's
impossible to believe anything they say about anything else.
("Falsus in unum, falsus in omnibus.")
Still, the above statement is extremely dangerous because it refers to
"the public's patience," invoking nationalism and xenophobia by the
Chinese people, and seeking to incite it. The editorial
continues:
> [indent]<QUOTE>"As India continues down this intransigent path,
> perhaps it is time that it be taught a second lesson. Their troops
> in Doklam could either withdraw voluntarily, be captured or may be
> killed when border disputes escalate, [according to] Liu Youfa,
> China's former consul general in Mumbai."<END QUOTE>[/indent]
This is pretty much a direct threat of war.
The phrase "second lesson" alludes to the 1962 Sino-Indian war, a
brief but bloody war between the two countries over the Indian state
of Arunachal Pradesh in the eastern Himalayas. China is viewed as
having won that war.
India's defense minister Arun Jaitley was recently asked about the
1962 war, and he responded: "If they are trying to remind us, the
situation in 1962 was different and India of 2017 is different."
The editorial also threatens a Chinese invasion of India-controlled
Kashmir:
> [indent]<QUOTE>"No matter what vassalage relationship India maintains
> with Bhutan, it baffles this author that India has the courage to
> transgress another country on its behalf. And in this case, Indian
> troops even entered into Doklam from the China-Sikkim
> border. Well, if this kind of logic holds, a third country can
> certainly enter into Kashmir, including India-controlled Kashmir,
> upon Pakistan's invitation. (This is not a far-fetched
> idea.)"<END QUOTE>[/indent]
On Tuesday, China's Foreign Ministry issued a statement:
> [indent]<QUOTE>"On July 24, 2017 local time, when giving an interview
> to the press in Bangkok on China-India standoff incident, Foreign
> Minister Wang Yi noted that it is very clear who is right and who
> is wrong regarding this issue, and that even Indian senior
> officials have publicly said that Chinese troops have not intruded
> into Indian territory, which means that India admitted that it has
> entered into Chinese territory. The solution to this issue is
> simple, which is that the Indian troops back out
> honestly."<END QUOTE>[/indent]
This statement is weasel-worded, in that Doklam Plateau is Bhutan's
territory, not India's territory. If China is so sure of its claim,
perhaps it should ask the United Nations Permanent Court of
Arbitration (PCA) to decide the matter.
So China is demanding that India withdraw its troops, and permit the
Chinese army to annex Bhutan's Doklam Plateau unopposed. China says
that it is running out of patience, and threatens to invade before
long. Global Times (Beijing) and China's Foreign Ministry
****
**** India says that it will remain 'firm and resolute' but 'reasonable'
****
India is responding to China's threats by saying that it will remain
"firm and resolute" militarily, according to Indian media, and will
thwart any attempt by China to “bully” Bhutan, while being
“reasonable” at the politico-diplomatic level to resolve the ongoing
troop stand-off with the People’s Liberation Army in the Doklam area
in Bhutanese territory.
According to India's Army vice-chief Lt-General Sarath Chand on
Tuesday"
> [indent]<QUOTE>"On the North, we have China which has a large
> landmass, huge resources and a large standing Army ... Despite
> having the Himalayas between us, China is bound to be a threat for
> us in years ahead."<END QUOTE>[/indent]
Indian media says that it is reinforcing its military in the region:
> [indent]<QUOTE>"Much like the Line of Control with Pakistan, Indian
> soldiers are prepared for the long haul near the tri-junction with
> China as well. Apart from the already present 63 and 112 Brigades
> (over 3,000 troops each) in east and north-east Sikkim, the Army
> has moved up another 2,500 soldiers from the 164 Brigade to Zuluk
> and Nathang Valley in the state to further reinforce its military
> stance, as was first reported by TOIon July 11."<END QUOTE>[/indent]
Both China and India are hardening their positions, both with words
and with military reinforcements. The Chinese media are making it
clear that if India does not withdraw soon, then China will invade.
China believes that it will easily win, and India believes that "this
time it's different." The situation is extremely dangerous, and could
lead to war very quickly, either intentionally or through
miscalculation. Times of India
Related Articles
- China threatens military intervention in Kashmir on the side of Pakistan (12-Jul-2017)
- China and India have military confrontation over Bhutan's Doklam plateau (08-Jul-2017)
- As Narendra Modi visits Washington, China threatens India after border clash (28-Jun-2017)
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, China, India, Bhutan, Doklam Plateau,
Arun Jaitley, 1962 Sino-Indian war, Lia Youfa,
United Nations Permanent Court of Arbitration, PCA,
Nine-dash line
Permanent web link to this article
Receive daily World View columns by e-mail
Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal
John J. Xenakis
100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A
Cambridge, MA 02142
Phone: 617-864-0010
E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com
Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com
Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum
Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe
